Raghuram Rajan
Why Did Economists Not Foresee the Crisis?
CHICAGO – At the height of the financial crisis, the Queen of England asked my friends at the London School of Economics a simple question, …
Economists' spectacular failure to foresee crucial recent developments – including the collapse in the US housing market, the onset of the global financial crisis, and the duration and depth of the Great Recession – has powerfully undermined the credibility of the discipline's models and assumptions. What went wrong, and how can economists regain the trust of policymakers and citizens?