MOSCOW – In 1906, Pyotr Stolypin, my great-grandfather, was appointed Prime Minister of Imperial Russia. Among his first undertakings was a series of agricultural reforms aimed at creating a new class of smallholding farmers. Five years later, the population had grown by 18.5 million, far exceeding the previous growth rate; Russia had become the largest exporter of grain to Europe; and roughly three million private farmers had joined the new rural middle class.
Stolypin’s success reflected not only his systematic approach to solving a complex problem, but also how highly he valued farming. In today’s Russia, however, small-scale farming remains a low priority compared to large industrial operations. Expediency and quick profit trump diversity and stability.
Today’s global economy can be broken down into two systems: a virtual, securities-based economy, which represents most economic activity and a small, yet powerful, minority of the world’s population, and the rural economy, which represents a tiny fraction of global GDP and directly affects the lives of the vast majority of people. As the gap between these systems grows, so do social and economic tensions, exemplified in the Arab Spring uprisings.
The United Nations’ Millennium Project was designed to bridge this gap through food-security programs. As a result, governments from Africa to Latin America are showing remarkable progress in making agriculture a high public-policy priority. But not Russia. Despite increasingly unsustainable social conditions, the country’s leaders refuse to pursue agricultural reform.
There are two major reasons for this. The first is Russia’s problem of national identity. In 1917, more than 80% of Russia’s population were peasants. Traditionally the most conservative element of society, they undermined the Leninist vision, which aimed to create a new kind of citizen – the proverbial Homo soveticus. So the Soviet authorities moved to eliminate this obstacle through forced collectivization of agriculture. The subsequent famine to which collectivization contributed resulted in millions of deaths in the early 1930’s. Later that decade, purges and repression killed many more.
Despite the human and social costs, forced collectivization transformed the country’s agricultural sector. In only a few years, more than 90% of agricultural land was collectivized and industrialized. The identity of the farmer became kolkhoznik (collective farmer).
The second reason is economic. Following the Soviet Union’s 1991 dissolution, citizens scrambled to privatize. Anyone with powerful connections and access to money went after the low-hanging fruit, starting with oil and gas. Agriculture was barely on the list: the capital investments were too great, the infrastructure too decayed, the market non-existent, and profitability too far off. Without adequate government support and guarantees, agricultural investments were too risky. And the sector was deemed too primitive for the urban class.
The resulting discrepancy between urban and rural conditions has had serious consequences. In the last decade, more than 13,000 villages have ceased to exist, some through amalgamation with nearby villages, but most through attrition, as a lack of schools, electricity, and opportunities drives away inhabitants. By some estimates, including from a respected member of the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Geography, the official census is wildly incorrect – underestimating the decline in rural population by nearly 50%!
While Russia’s “verticals of power” have created bloated, corrupt bureaucratic structures incapable of implementing a coordinated vision like Stolypin’s, there is an alternative approach: integrated development, which entails the coordination of private investment with social programs.
Such an approach requires, first, modest private initiatives to assist in restoring rural Russia through investment in small-scale farming. Meanwhile, social programs must be implemented to improve villages’ social infrastructure (education and healthcare), and to increase the skills of farmers and small entrepreneurs. The usual Russian way of doing things – creating jobs with no qualified candidates to take them – would be fruitless.
A century ago, Stolypin understood the need to liberalize Russia’s economy and create conditions allowing private farmers to develop. He understood smallholders’ stabilizing potential, and worked hard to build a positive image of farming. Had he not been assassinated in 1911, Russia might have escaped the 1917 revolution and its tragic consequences, many of which are still felt today.
Today, Stolypin’s key ideas can be implemented on the basis of market mechanisms. Russian President Vladimir Putin, with his tendency to fetishize pre-Bolshevik Russia, must do more than speak about reform. Russia must stop looking for grandiose causes and dramatic projects, and enable all of its citizens – including its rural inhabitants – to invest in themselves.