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In Search of Dynamism

The Undeserving One Percent?

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2011-11-10

CHICAGO – It is amazing how the “one percent” epithet, a reference to the top 1% of earners, has caught on in the United States and elsewhere in the developed world. In the United States, this 1% includes all those with a 2006 household income of at least $386,000. In the popular narrative, the 1% is thickly populated with unscrupulous corporate titans, greedy bankers, and insider-trading hedge-fund managers. Reading some progressive economists, it might seem that the answer to all of America’s current problems is to tax the 1% and redistribute to everyone else.

Of course, underlying this narrative is the view that this income is ill-gotten, made possible by Bush-era tax cuts, the broken corporate governance system, and the conflict-of-interest-ridden financial system. The 1% are not people who have earned money the hard way by making real things, so there is no harm in taking it away from them.

Clearly, this caricature is based on some truth. For instance, corporations, especially in the financial sector, reward too many executives richly despite mediocre performance. But apart from tarring too many with the same brush, there is something deeply troubling about this narrative’s reductionism.

It ignores, for example, the fact that many of the truly rich are entrepreneurs. It likewise ignores the fact that many of the wealthy are sports stars and entertainers, and that their ranks include professionals such as doctors, lawyers, consultants, and even some of our favorite progressive economists. In other words, the rich today are more likely to be working than idle.

But what might be the most important overlooked fact is that the rise in income inequality is not just at the very top, though it is most pronounced there. Academic studies suggest that the top tenth percentile of income distribution in the US, and elsewhere, is also moving farther away from the median earner. This is an inconvenient fact for the progressive economist. “We are the 90%,” sounds less dramatic than “we are the 99%.” And, for some of the protesters, it may not even be true.

Perhaps most problematic, though, is that something other than plutocrat-friendly policies is largely responsible for the growing inequality. That something is education and skills. True, not every degree is a passport to a job. Freshly-minted degree holders, especially from lower-quality programs, are finding it particularly hard to get a job nowadays, because they are competing with experienced workers who are also jobless. Nevertheless, the unemployment rate for those with degrees is one-third the unemployment rate for those without a high school diploma.

Close examination suggests that the single biggest difference between those at or above the top tenth percentile of the income distribution and those below the 50th percentile is that the former have a degree or two while the latter, typically, do not. Technological change and global competition have made it impossible for American workers to get good jobs without strong skills. As Harvard professors Claudia Golden and Larry Katz put it, in the race between technology and education, education is falling behind.

To acknowledge the fact that the broken educational and skills-building system is responsible for much of the growing inequality that ordinary people experience would, however, detract from the larger populist agenda of rallying the masses against the very rich. It has the inconvenient implication that the poor have a role in pulling themselves out of the morass. There are no easy and quick fixes to education – every US president since Gerald Ford in the mid-1970’s has called for educational reforms, with little effect. In contrast, blaming the undeserving 1% offers a redistributive policy agenda with immediate effects.

The US has tried quick fixes before. Income inequality grew rapidly in the last decade, but consumption inequality did not. The reason: easy credit, especially subprime mortgages, which helped those without means to keep up with the Joneses. The ending, as everyone knows, was not a happy one. The less-well-off ultimately became even worse off as they lost their jobs and homes.

The US needs to improve the quality of its workforce by developing the skills that are relevant to the jobs that its firms are creating. Several steps can be taken towards these goals, including improving community attitudes towards education, reforming schools, tying the curriculum in community colleges and vocational institutions more closely to the needs of local firms, making higher education more affordable, and finding effective ways to retrain unemployed workers.

None of this is easy or likely to produce results quickly, and some of it may require more resources. While eliminating inefficient spending, especially inefficient tax subsidies, can generate some of these funds, more tax revenues may be needed. The rich can certainly afford to pay more, but if governments increase taxes on the wealthy, they should do it with the aim of improving opportunities for all, rather than as a punitive measure to rectify an imagined wrong.

Raghuram Rajan is Professor of Finance at the Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, and author of Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy.

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tcolgan001 05:16 10 Nov 11

That $386,000 figure is an error.  Perhaps it came from here:

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2011/10/30/nyregion/where-the-one-percent-fit-in-the-hierarchy-of-income.html

This is the cutoff for the top 10%.  The top 1% make over $2 million per year.


krkovach 05:18 10 Nov 11

There is no denying that the tax rate on the top 1% or 10%, whichever number you want, has fallen dramatically since 2000. I don't disagree with the major points you make but having no social security tax over 100K, 15% long term capital gains rates and the changes in the tax rates over 100K which was 39.6% in 2000 and is now 28%, 33% or 35% depending on income is extremely generous in a time it is borrowed money.


bluebob1 06:09 10 Nov 11

This article is misleading on several basic points.  First, based on the recent non-partisan analysis of the Congressional Budget Office, the main reason for the growth in inequality is that the top 1% has dramatically pulled away from others. The CBO analysis clearly shows (see, e.g., "summary figure 2") that the shares of income going to the bottom four income quintiles have fallen since 1979, whle the share on income going to the 81st through 99th percentile have stayed the same.  The only share that has risen is that of the top 1%.

Second, within the top 1%, the main driver has been the rising incomes of the top 0.1%.  For example, the Center on Budegt and Policy Priorities (http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&id=3309) estimates that the real average income gains of the top 0.1% during the last economic expansion (2002 to 2007) was 123%.  It was 4% for the lower 90% of the distribution and 62% for the top 1% (which is skewed due to the top 0.1%).  The top 0.1% is primarily the super rich hedge fund managers and CEOs of large corporations, not "entreprenuers."

Third, the claim that educational differences account for the growing inequality is simply wrong.  The so-called college premium (difference in earnings between those with only a college degree and those with only a HS degree) grew in the 1980s, but has been relatively flat since the early 1990s.  So while educational differences can partly explain why some people have a higher LEVEL of income than others, it cannot explain why inequality has GROWN so much.

This information is readily available and I find it hard to believe that the author did not know these basic points.  When will professors from the University of Chicago stop defending gross inequality at all costs and creating a casino economy and use their knowledge for the common good?


Alternative 06:50 10 Nov 11

Many of the truly rich are heirs of ... or entrepreneurs. Those who are poor should question themselves why they are poor. Better schools? Come on, the internet offers all you need to study whatever you can think of. The problem is not the rich nor the tax system, the problem is the lack of dynamism of a great part of the population that prefers to spend its time before TV. You get what you work for and there are opportunities enough in the US. More than 5 billion people elsewhere on the planet can dream of.


Linden 07:05 10 Nov 11

One would expect there to be jobs a plenty in the higher skilled sectors according to this account, but that isn't the case. One of the challenges that developed countries face is that their economies are not geared for job creation, partly because the financial sector, at least in the UK, has asset stripped productive industries and pocketed the gains.


Zsolt 09:27 10 Nov 11

There is a great problem with this article.

It still views the whole world as machine for producing goods, generating profits and continuing infinite growth and consumption.

I do not see the human beings in the picture.

The writer's idea of education is giving skills to people, so the "robots" can do their jobs better, help production and consumption more, increasing competitivenes, bla bla bla...

Same old mantra.

It seems we are unable to disconnect from the idea that we were born into this world to consume and generate profit.

According to this attitude this is the whole life about, how skilfull I am producing goods, how much money I have to purchase them to keep up with the high earners.

There is a very deeply troubling theme there and unfortunately it is imprinted in all of us. We are slaves, we are programmed to be good producers and even better consumers.

But life is not about this at all.

And what the global crisis is doing to us it is liberating us up from this slavery.

This crisis is actually a birth, we are going to be reborn freely, and we will be able to breath again, and start dealing with what is important for a human being: human connections.

The education system will change to grow human beings who are capable of connecting to others in the interconnected interdependent world.

We will produce enough to have a normal, healthy modern life and in the rest of the time we will take others into consideration and build a single, united humanity.

Does it sound as a utopia?

I do not think so, we are already receiving the helping hand from the crisis, that is not going to stop, because this exploitative, profit chasing machienery is self destructing, it is not sustainable in this closed, finite network we have become.

So we need to start preparing for our new life in the mutual, interconnected, truly human world.


injuntrouble 12:04 11 Nov 11

People for University of Chicago just don't get it or are not very smart.

Nobody said anything about all the 1% being crooks or undeserving.

All that we are saying is that they should pay more taxes and that they should not have so much influence in government.


sculptor 06:07 11 Nov 11

Since when did taxes become "punitive" in America?  Simply, the government requires revenues in order to operate in a reasonably balanced way.  By the same token, the national economy requires a reasonable balance of incomes so that people can pay their ordinary bills and take responsibility for themselves.  In order to have prosperity, people must prosper.

 

 


barkway 03:26 11 Nov 11

To be sure, education and skills do play a part but to ignore the policies and structures in place which provided for astronomical growth in the top 1%'s income and net worth at the expense of everyone else, and in the face of inflation is foolish. Additionally, while some entrepreneurs do become wealthy, they do not achieve that without significant contributions from their workers, and from the benefits and infrastructure of our capitalist society. How many of those entrepreneurs paid their workers a living wage adjuzted for inflation year after year? And health benefits? Pensions? No man or woman gets wealthy all by themselves with no support, contribution, or benefit from others.


cagilbert 06:31 11 Nov 11

Even OWS doesn't say that all people in the 1% are 'bad'; witness the shock and grief felt there when Steve Jobs died.  This is mainly directed at Wall St.  I think it's just that people feel that thetop  1% (or 2%) aren't paying their share:  tax rates are the lowest ever.  

Sure, education is lacking, but as Krugman and others have shown, even wages for college educated have stagnated in the last 10 years or so.  

It's the Plutocracy, including company boards, who are themselves current or previous executives, giving theiri executives excessive salaries; working people who have to pay higher tax rates than those living off of 'unearned' income.  

You're prescription won't fix anything for generations.  

 


MWooster 10:14 13 Nov 11

“We are the 90%,” sounds less dramatic than “we are the 99%.”

But is still a very large majority, I think you'll agree?

And has it not occurred to you that those between the 50th and 90th percentile have fallen behind economically, despite having almost the same level of education as the top 10 percent? The distribution of educational gains over the last twenty-five years—who finishes college or gains advanced degrees—has been much broader than the distribution of economic gains. This rather defeats the explanation through education.

 


shankaro 04:01 22 Dec 11

While I normally agree with Rajan's views, I have to say that this particle article has side-stepped some key factors which are causes of the mess we find ourselves in. Let me begin by asking a question - what do you think is the most preferred Job that a bright graduate today longs for? Answer is - Investment Banking - and why, because every kid today wants to have millions in bank account at 40 and then retire wealthy. It does not matter - how many actually end up being so, but it is important to understand how and why is it so. There was a time when bright kids dreamed of becoming Einsteins or Edisons, but no more. The first preference today is not even to become Steve Jobs or Bill Gates. And it is not without reason. Over the years, through invisible nexus between financiers and the policy makers, we have created a global financial system which has inherent structural advantages as a profession than other industries. And it is too intricate to examine than just to look at few problems. We as a society have started valuing (by value we mean wealth and hence the social status) wealth-managers (the wall street and likes) more than the wealth-generators (entreprenuers, scientists, inventors, diligent workers, etc.). Take the case of Rajat Gupta - if one goes by the information available in media, at one point of time he started feeling that after all his professional accomplishments he finds himself just in a millionaire's club (likes of CEOs, Consulting Giant partners, Founders, etc.) and not in billionaire's club (hedge fund managers, I-Bankers, PE firm owners, market movers, etc.). Most of the top CEOs if were asked now, how would they have redesigned their career graph from childhood, it will not be surprising if many agree that we may have been better off focusing our energy towards investment banking. Look, lets face it. It is not about feeling jealous or training all guns on the wealthiest. No one doubts that yes people who join wall street may be are the bright ones, but the main question is why are the majority of them wanting to join wall street. Take two same high talent kids and make one join in automobile industry and other in investment banking, and then see who is more richer. Isn't it an anomaly. We will never be able to fix our problems till we finally fix this problem. But what happens, whenever there is a financial crisis, the committees that are constituted to fix the crisis, consists mainly of people who have made reputation playing in the system. In all fairness, let us not be naive to think that they can do an impartial job. The message coming from protests like Occupy Wall street is not just about hatred for all rich people, it is much more fundamental - how our society is getting impacted by such serious unfair policy designs which is favoring one industry wildly above other. And of course, the greedy behavior of some these bankers who in their short-sighted pursuit of more and more money, screwed up the whole economy. What justification can we provide to a hard working person who is near his retirement, and so unable to quickly reskill herself, loses her job because othe bad economy - which was caused by this reckless bankers, and the incompetent (and maybe complicit) governments and regulatory bodies. I would love to see Mr. Rajan's thoughts on how should the new self-correcting global financial system be designed - with its proper checks and balances, and clear responsbilities of the government, regulatory bodies, supra-national institutions (like IMF, etc) and the Banks. May be an economist can do a much more impartial job :)



AUTHOR INFO

Raghuram Rajan, a former chief economist of the IMF, is Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business and the author of Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy.
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