Thursday, November 27, 2014

Send in the Clowns

NEW YORK – When too many Italians voted late last month for either a louche and discredited business tycoon or a comedian, European stock markets plummeted. With no public trust in the political class, Italy might become ungovernable.

But Italians are not alone. Rage against the political establishment has become a global phenomenon. Chinese bloggers, American Tea Party activists, British Europhobes, Egyptian Islamists, Dutch populists, Greek ultra-rightists, and Thai “red shirts” all have one thing in common: hatred of the status quo and contempt for their countries’ elites. We are living in an age of populism. The authority of conventional politicians and traditional media is slipping away fast.

Populism can be a necessary corrective when political parties grow sclerotic, mass media become too complacent (or too close to power), and bureaucracies are unresponsive to popular needs. In a globalized world managed by bankers and technocrats, many people feel that they have no say in public affairs; they feel abandoned.

Our national politicians, increasingly powerless to cope with serious crises, are suspected, often with good reason, of simply looking after their own interests. All we can do is vote the rascals out, sometimes by voting for candidates whom we would not take seriously in more normal times.

Italian elites are not the only ones in need of being shaken up. But the problem with populism is that it is rarely benign. In the 1930’s, it resulted in violent movements led by dangerous men in uniform. Today’s populists are different. They do not, on the whole, advocate violence. Some preach that Muslims are destroying Western civilization. Others think that President Barack Obama is a kind of communist out to destroy America.

Two types of contemporary populist, however, stand out: the ultra-rich business tycoon and the clown. In the Anglo-Saxon media world, Rupert Murdoch, owner of far too many newspapers, TV stations, and movie studios, is a typical populist tycoon. But he never aspired to lead a country. Former Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi and former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra did – and still do.

Neither the clown nor the tycoon is well suited to being a democratic leader. The question is which is worse.

Clowns have always played a role in politics. Medieval court jesters were often the only ones who could speak truth to despotic kings. Today, it is often comedians who claim to speak truth to power – and to the public.

In America, liberals turn for political commentary to television comedians like Jon Stewart and Stephen Colbert, who are now more trusted than traditional news broadcasters. And clownish right-wing radio talk-show hosts now have more influence on many conservative American voters than the sober journalists of the mainstream media do.

A few years ago, a clown named Brozo, with a large red nose and a bright green wig, was Mexico’s most popular political commentator on television, actively courted by all candidates running for national office. In 1980, the French clown Coluche actually dropped out of the presidential race when one newspaper put his popular support at 16%, causing him to fear that he might influence the result too much.

The prototype of modern European populism was the flamboyant Dutch political showman Pim Fortuyn, who was assassinated in 2002 by a fanatical vegan. Fortuyn’s outrageousness was deliberately provocative and always entertaining. His rants against the elites were often confused, but he was funny, which made the old elite politicians look like stuffy old bores – which many of them were.

And now Italy has Beppe Grillo, whose success in the country’s recent election makes him the first professional comedian to lead a major political party in Europe.

The thing about clowns, though, is that few have any aspirations to rule their countries. Before his death, Fortuyn is said to have been terrified of the prospect of becoming Prime Minister. And Grillo cannot even aspire to the job in Italy because of his criminal record.

Clowns mostly seek to provoke, and this can be healthy. They are less likely than members of the professional political class to allow political calculations to influence their views. And, sometimes, they actually say things that are uncomfortable but true, and that need to be said.

Political business tycoons, on the other hand, have different ambitions. They attack the old elites not to shake things up, but to take their power. Promising to spread the riches that they have made for themselves, they exploit the fantasies of those of us who have little and want more. Berlusconi understood the dreams of many Italians very well. His extravagance, clownishness, and even his girls were part of his popular appeal.

In Thailand, the self-made ethnic-Chinese media billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra was especially admired by the rural poor. Like a beneficent king, he would give them money, and promised to challenge the old elites in Bangkok – the bankers, generals, judges, and even the courtiers surrounding the Thai king.

But tycoons are not natural democrats. Their main interest is in their own business. And they do not hesitate to undermine an independent press or judiciary when their business interests are threatened. Even though his sister, Yingluck Shinawatra, is now in power, Thaksin is still trying to evade trial in Thai courts on a wide array of financial charges.

As it happens, Thaksin was overthrown in 2006 by a military coup that was largely backed by the Bangkok elites. Berlusconi was replaced by a government run by elite technocrats, whose policies had to be approved by European bankers and European Union bureaucrats.

Neither of these responses to populism is likely to boost democracy. On the contrary, they make things worse. What is needed is mainstream politicians who understand and respond to what is fueling popular rage. Paying attention to some of what the clowns are saying might be a good first step.

Read more from our "Italian Ice" Focal Point.

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    1. CommentedFrank O'Callaghan

      Stephen Stanley is correct about the Tea Party. It was a creation of a couple of Oligarchs but it has largely aded away as the election that it was created to infloence fades into the past.
      Real populist movements often depend on individual charismatic personalities. They only sometimes continue after the demise of the figurehead. Gaullists and Fianna Fáil are two exceptions.
      Zsolt Hermann makes a bigger point with which I generally agree.

    2. CommentedStephen Stanley

      Small problem with this discussion: The Tea Party largely represents US elites, well-off white voters. The Tea Party wants nothing more than the status-quo, if possible, an earlier one.

    3. CommentedZsolt Hermann

      We might understand the picture better if we look at the situation from systemic point of view.
      Humanity is ahead of an unprecedented evolutionary jump.
      While the previous development was linear, individuals, nations, regions seemingly coexisting 'side by side" in a free, empty space, each pursuing their own path occasionally clashing or uniting, everybody making their own selfish calculation without much regards to the others.
      The prevalent socio-economic system reflected it, with the addition of the excessive over production/over consumption model as if humanity existed in an infinite, bottomless treasury where we could anything without limits.
      By now the whole of humanity has grown, evolved together into a single interconnected network. We became dependent on each other, and we are also realizing that the system we exist in is closed and finite, and in case we want to continue surviving we have to consider how to make our system sustainable.
      Thus while the new system with its conditions is round, like a fully integral, living organism, our previous structure is still fragmented, polarized, self-centred and exploitative.
      Since in the vast natural system we exist in everything is built on unbreakable, fundamental, natural laws, our present unnatural socio-economic system, the way we relate to each other has no chance of survival.
      The present political leaders, business and financial establishments are not evil, they simply try to force something which has no merit, no place to exist any longer. Of course since they did very well, profited a lot with the previous system they have a hard time to let go.
      But they have no choice.
      The transition from the fragmented, disjointed, self-centred human system to a round, truly global, interconnected and mutual system has to happen.
      There are two options: either it will happen as the previous evolutionary changes, by the force of pressure, unbearable blows, revolutions and wars, necessitating the change, or we can do it wisely, consciously, gradually by first of all introducing a global, integral education program worldwide, explaining the people the system we exist in and how we should be adapting to it.
      This education option is the only thing the present leaders can implement preventing very unpredictable and violent scenarios. There is a huge responsibility on their shoulders but we have all the information, the resources and the clear signs motivating us.