Exit from comment view mode. Click to hide this space
Email | Print

Is State Capitalism Winning?

CAMBRIDGE – In the age-old contest of economic-growth models, state capitalism has seemed to be gaining the upper hand in recent years. Avatars of liberal capitalism like the United States and the United Kingdom continued to perform anemically in 2012, while many Asian countries, relying on various versions of dirigisme, have not only grown rapidly and steadily over the last several decades, but have also weathered recent economic storms with surprising grace. So, is it time to update the economics textbooks?

In fact, economics does not say that unfettered markets are better than state intervention or even state capitalism. The problems with state capitalism are primarily political, not economic. Any real-world economy is riddled with market failures, so a benevolent and omnipotent government could sensibly intervene quite often. But who has ever met a benevolent or omnipotent government?

To understand the logic of state capitalism, it is useful to recall some early examples – not the socialist command economies or modern societies seeking to combat market failures, but ancient civilizations. Indeed, it seems that, like farming or democracy, state capitalism has been independently invented many times in world history.

Consider the Greek Bronze Age, during which many powerful states, organized around a city housing the political elite, formed throughout the Mediterranean basin. These states had no money and essentially no markets. The state taxed agricultural output and controlled nearly all goods production. It monopolized trade, and, in the absence of money, moved all of the goods around by fiat. It supplied food and inputs to weavers and then took their output. In essence, the Greek Bronze Age societies had something that looked remarkably like state capitalism.

So did the Incas as they built their huge Andean empire in the century before the Spanish arrived. They, too, had no money (or writing); but the state conducted decennial censuses, built roughly 25,000 miles (40,000 kilometers) of roads, operated a system of runners to send messages and collect information, and recorded it all using knotted strings called quipus, most of which cannot be read today. All of this was part of their control of land and labor, based on centrally planned allocation of resources and coercion.

How is it that societies as disparate as the Greek Bronze Age cities of Knossos, Mycenae, or Pylos, the Inca Empire, Soviet Russia, South Korea, and now China all ended up with state capitalism?

The answer lies in recognizing that state capitalism is not about efficient allocation of economic resources, but about maximizing political control over society and the economy. If state managers can grab all productive resources and control access to them, this maximizes control – even if it sacrifices economic efficiency.

To be sure, in many parts of the world, state capitalism has helped to consolidate states and centralize authority – preconditions for the development of modern societies and economies. But political control of the economy generally becomes problematic, because those running the state do not have social welfare or optimal resource allocation in mind. The state capitalism of the Greek Bronze Age or the Inca Empire was not motivated by economic inefficiency; nor did it necessarily create a more efficient economy. What it did was help to consolidate political power.

At a deeper level, the real dichotomy is not between state capitalism and unfettered markets; it is between extractive and inclusive economic institutions. Extractive institutions create a non-level playing field, rents, and narrowly concentrated benefits for those with political power and connections. Inclusive institutions create a level playing field and give incentives and opportunities to the great mass of people.

But herein lies the problem for state capitalism: inclusive institutions require a private sector powerful enough to counterbalance and check the state. Thus, state ownership tends naturally to remove one of the key pillars of an inclusive society. It should be no surprise that state capitalism is almost always associated with authoritarian regimes and extractive political institutions.

This is not an endorsement of unfettered markets. The state plays a central role in modern society, and rightly so. Modern economic growth, even under inclusive institutions, often creates deep inequalities and tilted playing fields, endangering those institutions’ very survival. The modern regulatory and redistributive state can, within certain bounds, help to redress these problems. But the success of such a project crucially depends on society having control over the state – not the other way around.

To argue that state capitalism’s success proves its superiority is to put the cart before the horse. Yes, South Korea grew rapidly under state capitalism, and China is doing likewise today. But state capitalism emerged not because there was no other way to ensure economic growth in these countries, but because it enabled growth without destabilizing the existing power structure. The genius of China’s state capitalism is that it ensured the continued dominance of Communist Party elites while improving the allocation of resources, not that it alone could have provided price incentives to farmers and then managed liberalization of urban markets.

State capitalism will persist so long as existing elites are able to maintain it and benefit from it – even if economic growth ultimately stalls. And there is a good reason why it eventually will. Sustained economic growth presupposes inclusive institutions, because innovation – and the creative destruction and instability that it wreaks – depends on them. Extractive institutions in general, and state capitalism in particular, can support economic growth for a while, but only the sort of catch-up growth that South Korea experienced from the 1960’s to the 1980’s, before starting to transform its society and economy more radically.

As the low hanging fruit from catch-up growth is consumed, China, too, will be forced to choose between the economic and social freedom, innovation, and instability that only inclusive institutions can underpin and continued economic, political, and social control in the service of the elites who control the state.

Read more from our "The Clash of the Capitalisms" Focal Point.

Reprinting material from this Web site without written consent from Project Syndicate is a violation of international copyright law. To secure permission, please contact us.

VisitYear in Review 2012

  • Avatar for Joseph E. Stiglitz

    A Year on the Brink by Joseph E. Stiglitz

    The two main surprises in 2012 were the slowdown in emerging markets, which was slightly sharper and more widespread than anticipated, and Europe’s embrace of some truly remarkable reforms – though still far short of what is needed. Looking to 2013, the biggest global economic risks are there and in the US.

  • Avatar for Christine Lagarde

    The Future Global Economy by Christine Lagarde

    A world that is bound closely together must be a world that works closely together if it is to prosper together. We are multiple players, but we are engaged in a single game – a game that must be cooperative, not simply competitive.

  • Avatar for Kaushik Basu

    The Emerging Economies’ Eurozone Crisis by Kaushik Basu

    For emerging economies, medium- to long-term growth prospects are bright. Easing short-term jitters will require a clear and credible program for returning high-income economies, especially those in Europe, to a sustainable fiscal path.

  • Avatar for Guido Mantega

    Brazil’s Economic Revolution by Guido Mantega

    In 2012, Brazil, beset by fallout from the global economic crisis, undertook bold measures to reinvigorate growth, including interest-rate reductions, tax reform, and steps aimed at stimulating private investment. More important, the government’s policies will have a permanent – indeed, revolutionary – impact on Brazil’s economy.

  • Avatar for Bill Gates

    The Optimist’s Timeline by Bill Gates

    A decade ago, many people believed that the proliferation of mobile devices in Africa would mean a short leap to digital empowerment. But digital empowerment is a long and ongoing process, and the mere existence of cellular technology does not immediately change how poor people meet their basic needs.

  • Avatar for Jim O'Neill

    Emerging World Rising by Jim O'Neill

    The US will face recurring challenges with the “fiscal cliff” until financial markets pressure policymakers into more radical deficit reduction. But, despite this and associated growth disappointments, the global economy will perform better in 2013 than many people expect, owing to emerging countries' rising share of global output.

  • Avatar for Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    More Skin in the Game in 2013 by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

    In an opaque system, operators have an incentive to hide risk, taking upside without downside. And there is no possible risk management method that can replace having skin in the game – particularly when informational opacity is compounded by informational asymmetry.

  • Avatar for George Soros

    Europe’s Crisis of Values by George Soros

    Far from being a voluntary association of equals, the euro is now held together by hierarchy and harsh discipline. Instead of European fraternity and solidarity, hostile national stereotypes proliferate, giving rise to extremist forces that gained ground throughout the continent in 2012.

  • Avatar for Peter Sutherland

    The Bilateral Threat to Free Trade by Peter Sutherland

    The Doha Round of global trade talks appears to have died this year, almost without a whimper. While a small portion of the project may be saved, the essential reality is that this is a unique failure in the history of multilateral trade negotiations, which have transformed the global economy since World War II.

  • Avatar for John Vickers

    The Great Bank Debate by John Vickers

    Structural reform of banks does not solve all problems, but, at least for the UK and the rest of Europe, it is a key part of the overall reform package for the financial sector. Now, five years on from the start of the crisis, the debate about how to achieve a more stable, loss-absorbent banking system has finally begun.

  • Avatar for Anat Admati

    The Great Bank Escape by Anat Admati

    Corporate decisions taken in the name of shareholder value often benefit only those whose wealth is closely tied to the firm's profits, and may be harmful to many shareholders. If policymakers and regulators do not strengthen their reform efforts, taxpayers and shareholders – not bankers – will suffer the consequences of the next crisis.

  • Avatar for Haruhiko Kuroda

    Asia’s Hard Road by Haruhiko Kuroda, Changyong Rhee

    Next year will present significant challenges and new responsibilities – political, economic, and social – for developing Asia. The path to sustainable, inclusive economic growth will be difficult, but it will also entail exciting opportunities for Asia and for the rest of the world.

  • Avatar for Daron Acemoglu

    Is State Capitalism Winning? by Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson

    Avatars of liberal capitalism like the US and the UK continued to perform anemically in 2012, while many countries that rely on state capitalism have not only grown rapidly and steadily over the last several decades, but have also weathered recent economic storms with surprising ease. So, is it time to update the economics textbooks?

  • Avatar for Shinzo Abe

    Asia’s Democratic Security Diamond by Shinzo Abe

    Peace, stability, and freedom of navigation in the Pacific Ocean are inseparable from peace, stability, and freedom of navigation in the Indian Ocean. Japan, as one of the oldest sea-faring democracies in Asia, should play a greater role – alongside Australia, India, and the US – in preserving the common good in both regions.

  • Avatar for Abdullah Gul

    Crisis and Transformation by Abdullah Gul

    Turkey’s immediate neighborhood will continue to dominate the global policy agenda in 2013. To its north, Europe is at a crossroads, with ramifications that extend well beyond the confines of the EU, while an irreversible quest for dignity, freedom, democracy, and peace is altering the political landscape to its south.

  • Avatar for Leon E. Panetta

    America’s Pacific Rebalance by Leon E. Panetta

    The US military has entered a period of historic change after more than a decade of war following the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001. The key change is a strategic "rebalance" toward the Asia-Pacific region, reflecting its countries' central role for global security and prosperity in the twenty-first century.

  • Avatar for Juan Manuel Santos

    The Last Guerrillas by Juan Manuel Santos

    The Colombian government is committed to ending five decades of internal armed conflict by any means possible. The talks currently underway between the government and the FARC have the potential to bring the violence to an end, bolstering Colombian development efforts and contributing to regional peace and stability.

  • Avatar for Pierre Moscovici

    A Year of Reckoning for France and Europe by Pierre Moscovici

    France’s economic performance has been lackluster during the past ten years, particularly with respect to competitiveness, debt sustainability, public spending, and the labor market. But the government has vowed to make significant progress in each of these areas over the next five years – beginning in 2013.

  • Avatar for Michael J. Sandel

    The Moral Limits of Markets by Michael J. Sandel

    Almost without realizing it, we have drifted from having market economies to becoming market societies. A market economy is a tool for organizing productive activity, while a market society is a place where almost everything – from our bodies to our politics – is up for sale.

  • Avatar for Turki bin Faisal al-Saud

    How to Win in the Middle East by Turki bin Faisal al-Saud

    Analysts the world over are assessing the situation in the Middle East in 2012 in terms of the region’s "winners" and "losers." But, in the bloody, hostile miasma of the Middle East, being a “winner” in any sense of the word is fallacious.

  • Avatar for Mark Mazower

    Weimar 2013? by Mark Mazower

    In Europe, where national economic failure once led to the collapse of democracy itself, people are now asking if it could happen again. Communism and fascism may have been discredited since then, but we should not be complacent merely because we cannot imagine the alternatives.

  • Avatar for Imran Khan

    Ground the Drones in 2013 by Imran Khan

    Although 2012 marked the beginning of the end of US and NATO forces’ presence in Afghanistan, reliance on air strikes by unmanned drones escalated. Now that Barack Obama no longer faces the pressure of campaigning, he would be wise to use the first year of his new term to end America's indiscriminate and barbaric attacks.

  • Avatar for Nina L. Khrushcheva

    The History of Russia’s Future by Nina L. Khrushcheva

    The harsh policies that have allowed Russian President Vladimir Putin to maintain a stranglehold on Russia have ensured the country’s decline. As 2013 begins, Russia is back on its treadmill of history, treating the past as prologue – and thus wasting its resources and blighting its people's lives.

  • Avatar for Mehdi Khalaji

    The Enduring Egypt-Iran Divide by Mehdi Khalaji

    The Muslim Brotherhood’s ascent to power in the aftermath of Egypt revolution in 2011 initially inspired hope of renewed diplomatic relations with Iran. But, despite shared ideological principles, significant political obstacles continue to inhibit bilateral cooperation.

  • In 2012: The Year of the Locusts, Project Syndicate’s special Year in Review, the world’s leading economists, policymakers, political leaders, strategic thinkers, and public intellectuals provide an exclusive, sharp-eyed look at the last 12 months – and compelling analyses of the trends that will shape events in 2013.

Exit from comment view mode. Click to hide this space

Comments (0)

You need to login in order to leave a comment. If you do not yet have an account, please register.

close

The two commenting options explained

Watch a 1 minute video
to discover how you can comment on the entire article or a specific paragraph. The two images below also explain the two ways of commenting.

1) Entire article comment
Once logged in, simply click inside the comment box where it says "Enter text here." Enter and post your comment.

2) Paragraph comment
Please log in first. Then click to the left of the desired paragraph. Your cursor will automatically move to the comments box. Enter and post your comment.

Show comments of
  1. Commented

    Kir Komrik

    Thanks for the balanced article,

    imo, both State Capitalism and American Capitalism can be summed up with two words; Epic Fail. It's just that we (in the States) don't realize it yet. It's not durable. It's unjust. It's unsustainable. And everything I've heard so far is just a tired variation on ideas that have been failing for over 100 years. It's time for fresh, new ideas that are truly original and not a rehash of old ones, imo. It's time for genuine global rule of law with General Federalism and Fiducial Economics, imo ... or a better idea if I hear one.

    - kk

    http://federalism.jux.com
    http://kirkomrik.wordpress.com

  2. Commented

    John Garrett

    The authors state that, in state capitalism, elites in the state exert power/control over the economy an society, "state capitalism is ... about maximizing political control over society and the economy. If state managers can grab all productive resources and control access to them, this maximizes control ..." However, Dr. Stiglitz and others have argued that, in the US, the flow of power is reversed; that is, the elites in the economy (the financial sector) have exerted their control over the state (and society). This suggests an alternative post-developing-country model for state capitalism.

  3. Commented

    de Lafayette

    France, where I live, seems an unlikely candidate for state capitalism - but it is indeed one of the most prone EU countries for the role. Not long ago a Prime Minister was underscoring the necessity of French National Champions as a cornerstone policy to develop jobs.

    In fact, like most countries the larger part of any workforce is employed by small to medium large companies. So the "accident" of a communist country (China) changing sides to become a behemoth of capitalism bears some investigation, and even disbelief.

    No one can deny the Chinese success story, but to ascribe that success to State Capitalism is a step too far. The Chinese have been since time immemorial good entrepreneurs. It was a Chinese who first "discovered" both the African continent, the Arabian Peninsula, Iran and India to China's west and established trading ports - this during the 15th century - a bit before Columbus found the Americas on another voyage of discovery.

    Should we therefore be surprised of the Chinese resurgence? Not really. Should it be ascribed to State Capitalism? Not really, either.

    State capitalism in France, otoh, has been responsible for some very good policy initiatives. The first being to select for state development both a nuclear energy option and a hi-speed train transport system. Both of these industries are now world leaders in their domains.

    America, serial entrepreneur, renounced both such businesses. Much to its chagrin today. Its nuclear generation capacity is stagnant and no new plants are being built. (Thus wedding even further the US to carbon-based highly pollutant fuels.) And there is no challenge to high polluting commercial airliners from non-polluting hi-speed electric trains.

    These are only two examples where State Capitalism can undertake risky ventures in order to develop ... uh, National Champions (for lack of a better phrase). Where State Capitalism has worked wondrously in the US is, first, in aerospace technologies that took mankind to the moon. Then Arpanet that eventually evolved into the Internet we know today - the most important innovation in advancing our destiny since the Gutenberg bible was first printed.

    Are Western democracies therefore better off with State Capitalism? The answer to that question can only be, "It depends ...»

    It depends upon what national objectives we are trying to accomplish. We cannot simply depend upon markets to respond to a consumer need ipso facto. Markets often have to be prompted by a precursor effort to open the opportunity. State Capitalism thus works well to undertake such exploratory initiatives. But the lesson to be learned from Europe is that, once undertaken and proven valid, and then it is best for the state to get out of the business and leave it professionals.

  4. Commented

    Mehmet Ozcan

    There are always a balance between pure capitalism and state one. Optimizing the social welfare between these two extreme point is main problem of all governments...

  5. Commented

    Sergio Quirós Navas

    Countries that have embraced unfettered markets might have problems changing their path towards a "modern regulatory and redistributive state!. The problem we are facing in the US -an avatar of capitalism, as mentioned above- is that its powerful private sector is not checking the state but increasingly controlling it. This is, in my opinon, another example of the self-destructive nature of current capitalism: disruptive innovation is being interrupted by powerful incumbent firms who control, through lobbying, regulations that guarantee their hegemony. Elected representatives are spending "an ever-increasing amount of their time chasing donors for funds (...) as opposed to chasing citizens for votes" (http://blogs.hbr.org/cs/2012/12/how_corruption_is_strangling_us_innovation.html).
    And this kind of legalized corruption cannot possibly stop when incumbent firms and their lobbyists -the benefeciaries of the regulation- are controlling regulation.
    Thus, we have state capitalism in which power is in the hands of the political elite and we have the closest to unfettered capitalism available in the real world -the US- in which power is in the hands of big powerful corporations. How to get out of there?

  6. Commented

    pingfan hong

    So far, in modern times, it seems we have not found a good example of catch-up growth in countries with unfettered market economy. All those emerging economies that have experienced a rapid catch-up growth in recent decades have more or less had certain degree of state capitalism. What is more important is whether these economies can eventually make a smooth transition into a democratic market economy when they complete the catch-up phase. A few East Asian economies did.

  7. Commented
    100%

    Jeff GE

    Since the West was developed first, all growths in emerging markets are catch-up growths, wether they are achieved through unfettered markets or state capitalism. This article offers little new to advance theory of the "inclusive" vs "exclusive" institutions. What is perhaps new and meaningful is that at least in the case of catch-up growth, unfettered market is not the only way and state capitalism is a viable alternative.

    This has nothing to do with wether I personally prefer one system vs another. It is about intellectual honesty.

Email this article

Your name is required.

Your email is required.


Your friend's name is required.

Your friend's email is required.


A message is required.