Thursday, November 27, 2014

Sustaining Ukraine’s Breakthrough

NEW YORK – Following a crescendo of terrifying violence, the Ukrainian uprising has had a surprisingly positive outcome. Contrary to all rational expectations, a group of citizens armed with not much more than sticks and shields made of cardboard boxes and metal garbage-can lids overwhelmed a police force firing live ammunition. There were many casualties, but the citizens prevailed. This was one of those historic moments that leave a lasting imprint on a society’s collective memory.

How could such a thing happen? Quantum mechanics offers a fitting metaphor. Physicists know that subatomic phenomena can manifest themselves as both particles and waves; similarly, human beings may behave both as individual particles and as components of a larger wave. In other words, the unpredictability of historical events like those in Ukraine has to do with an element of uncertainty in human identity.

People’s identity is made up of individual elements and elements of larger units to which they belong, and peoples’ impact on reality depends on which elements dominate their behavior. When civilians launched a suicidal attack on an armed force in Kyiv on February 20, their sense of representing “the nation” far outweighed their concern with their individual mortality. The result was to swing a deeply divided society from the verge of civil war to an unprecedented sense of unity.

Whether that unity endures will depend on how Europe responds. Ukrainians have demonstrated their allegiance to a European Union that is itself hopelessly divided, with the euro crisis pitting creditor and debtor countries against one another. That is why the EU was hopelessly outmaneuvered by Russia in the negotiations with Ukraine over an Association Agreement.

True to form, the EU under German leadership offered far too little and demanded far too much from Ukraine. Now, after the Ukrainian people’s commitment to closer ties with Europe fueled a successful popular insurrection, the EU, along with the International Monetary Fund, is putting together a multibillion-dollar rescue package to save the country from financial collapse. But that will not be sufficient to sustain the national unity that Ukraine will need in the coming years.

I established the Renaissance Foundation in Ukraine in 1990 – before the country achieved independence. The foundation did not participate in the recent uprising, but it did serve as a defender of those targeted by official repression. The foundation is now ready to support Ukrainians’ strongly felt desire to establish resilient democratic institutions (above all, an independent and professional judiciary). But Ukraine will need outside assistance that only the EU can provide: management expertise and access to markets.

In the remarkable transformation of Central Europe’s economies in the 1990’s, management expertise and market access resulted from massive investments by German and other EU-based companies, which integrated local producers into their global value chains. Ukraine, with its high-quality human capital and diversified economy, is a potentially attractive investment destination. But realizing this potential requires improving the business climate across the economy as a whole and within individual sectors – particularly by addressing the endemic corruption and weak rule of law that are deterring foreign and domestic investors alike.

In addition to encouraging foreign direct investment, the EU could provide support to train local companies’ managers and help them develop their business strategies, with service providers remunerated by equity stakes or profit-sharing. An effective way to roll out such support to a large number of companies would be to combine it with credit lines provided by commercial banks. To encourage participation, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) could invest in companies alongside foreign and local investors, as it did in Central Europe.

Ukraine would thus open its domestic market to goods manufactured or assembled by European companies’ wholly- or partly-owned subsidiaries, while the EU would increase market access for Ukrainian companies and help them integrate into global markets.

I hope and trust that Europe under German leadership will rise to the occasion. I have been arguing for several years that Germany should accept the responsibilities and liabilities of its dominant position in Europe. Today, Ukraine needs a modern-day equivalent of the Marshall Plan, by which the United States helped to reconstruct Europe after World War II. Germany ought to play the same role today as the US did then.

I must, however, end with a word of caution. The Marshall Plan did not include the Soviet bloc, thereby reinforcing the Cold War division of Europe. A replay of the Cold War would cause immense damage to both Russia and Europe, and most of all to Ukraine, which is situated between them. Ukraine depends on Russian gas, and it needs access to European markets for its products; it must have good relations with both sides.

Here, too, Germany should take the lead. Chancellor Angela Merkel must reach out to President Vladimir Putin to ensure that Russia is a partner, not an opponent, in the Ukrainian renaissance.

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    1. CommentedCarol Maczinsky

      "Germany should take the lead. Chancellor Angela Merkel must reach out to President Vladimir Putin to ensure that Russia is a partner, not an opponent, in the Ukrainian renaissance."

      Why the hypocrite outcry then over the Crimea seizure?

    2. CommentedRoger McKinney

      So if Tea Partiers hate Obama we should not wait until the elections and express it with our vote. We should riot like Ukrainians.
      The US and Europe certified the elections of 2010. And the government offered early elections, but the thugs on the street refused. Those thugs in Kiev have no legitimacy. They were not elected. Russia should assume the government of Ukraine until elections.

    3. CommentedPhilippe Abeille

      Vladimir Putin – Russia Issues International Arrest Warrant For Rothschild & Soros

    4. CommentedPhilippe Abeille

      US-Directed Regime Change In The Ukraine Guaranteed To Inflame Russia Fury
      Were the staged sniper attacks in Kiev another CIA false flag operation?
      Where it concerns the alleged footage of snipers firing into crowd of protesters in Kiev, everything now points to a video that is not what it was purported to be.
      The Mainstream Media (MSM) can simply not be trusted to accurately portray events anymore. Especially events which are at the center of civil wars, revolutions, mass protests, regime changes, and the like. Every one of these ongoing events are staged from beginning too end by the globalists who start them. Isn’t it clear by now that the weapons in the possession of protesters are always provided and financed by globalists? And that they finance both sides of every conflict so that they will always control the side that ends up victorious.
      Of course, in the conduct of their blackop regime changes like the Ukraine, they will never start a color revolution without first guaranteeing who the victor will be. In the instant case of the Ukraine, it was always clear who was going to win. All one has to do is read all the bad press being heaped on the fallen government. Not only were they accused of protecting their own government buildings, but also of trying to maintain law and order in the face of a CIA-coordinared coup d’etat.
      The Sniper Photographs Guarranteed Sympathetic Sentiment At Home And Abroad For The Ukraine Opposition
      The straw that broke the camels back, however, were the faked videos of sniper teams firing from where, on who and in what country. No one even knows who these supposed snipers were, or who commanded them to fire off their shots. The whole episode is a great example of how to twitter a full-blown revolution. Anyone with a video camera, a YouTube account and an ill-conceived plan can implement a Facebook-run revolution CIA-style.
      Here’s a video that claims to be taken of opposition snipers firing at police and/or government security. This one was never disseminated by the MSM because it indicted the wrong side of the globalist’s plan. Nevertheless, how do we know for sure who they are, where they are, or when they were there? Either side can be framed at any time, as they often are.
      Video confirms that Ukraine snipers extremists fire at police and civilians.
      Now you see how very easy it is for the globalists to stage a false flag operation. Particularly when they want to stir up anti government sentiment quickly and intensely. This single alleged act against the people of the Ukraine turned out to be the defining moment during the whole protest movement. And yet still today no one can authoritatively say who or where or when or why such a ‘shocking act’ took place. Yes, it is shocking if it did occur as alleged, but there is still absolutely no proof.
      The internet has proven to be a boon for those whose habit it is to overthrow governments on a whim. Except that the Ukraine is anything but a passing whim in the minds of the globalists. The Ukraine is truly the Big Enchilada. Which is why they spared no shortage of Hollywood theatrics in the dramatization of the unusually violent and macabre protest sites. It was all planned to be that way to horrify the Western nations of the world into backing the law-breaking and totally unruly protesters.
      This Color Revolution was preplanned to occur during the Russian Olympics.

      Everyone knew that Vladimir Putin was absorbed in making sure Russia did a splendid job with the Olympics, which he did. In addition to Russia amassing the most medals, there was not a hint of terrorist activity. Except for the Pussy Riot duo dustup who were sponsored by their Western financiers to kick up a storm. That they did in order to further distract Putin from what was about to jump off in Kiev. The folks at Langley (CIA headquarters) had this whole black operation planned right down to the hour of occurrence. The new government was installed on the same day as the closing of the Sochi Olympics.
      Of course, Putin knew that the many terrorist scare articles that were purposefully planted by the MSM would require much time and energy to address. The world would have to be satisfied that Sochi would not become another Munich. All of this fell to Putin and his Administration as the US-EU juggernaut ran interference at every turn. If Putin had just once stopped and looked into his “crystal ball”, he would have seen that he was being set up — BIG TIME — by his counterparts in the CIA, MI6, Mossad et al.
      The many pre-Olympic articles alone were a dead giveaway. There were so many contrived pieces on terrorist threats from the Western news media that it became quite obvious the globalists were intent on doing much more than just wrecking the Winter Olympics for Russia and Putin. He has been a thorn in their sides like no other major leader in modern history. Given his KGB background and fierce commitment to the Russian people and his homeland, in Putin they have found the ultimate adversary.
      As good as Putin is in playing The Great Game, one can only meagerly speculate on his next move on the Ukrainian geopolitical chessboard. No matter what the move, everyone knows he is going for a checkmate. The Ukraine is simply too big of an asset to not take very seriously. The very large Russian population that resides in the eastern Ukraine is also a very grave concern for Putin, which he will respond to “by any means necessary”. Just as he did in Georgia when Russian civilians in South Ossetia were the victims of an unprovoked attack by the brutal aggressor Mikheil Saakashvili.
      Herein lies the extraordinary challenge for the US-EU juggernaut. They do not have the existential type threats knocking on their door like Russia. Not only are there Russians living in the Ukraine, but also many on the densely packed border because of shared commercial and industrial interests. The major natural gas and oil conduits running from Russia to the Ukraine also pose a critical security risk, which Putin does not take lightly. The Russian economy is disproportionately reliant on energy exports, so a wrench thrown into that sector would severely paralyze their already shaky recovery. When viewed in the aggregate, Russia clearly has a lot more at stake than the EU.
      Where the EU (and US) are on the continual brink of financial collapse, Russia and the eastern Ukraine are now facing existential threats. Both are now much too vulnerable, given the US/EU-dictated direction being taken by the newly installed leadership. Russia is unlikely to tolerate this US-EU meddling with a former Soviet state. Through the globalists bold and brutal actions in the Kiev, it is quite likely that the world will see the reemergence of the Russian bear. Putin has already shown his bear paw in Chechnya, South Ossetia, as well as in the management of various foreign acts of terrorism on Russian soil.
      Why would the US-EU provocateurs inflame the already angry Russian BEAR?

      The US-EU blatant intervention in the overthrow of the Ukrainian Government will not go unanswered by Russia. While the time and the place and the way remain a mystery, the will of Putin is well known.
      Vladimir Putin has suffered unparalleled media bashing in the MSM for years. The latest flagrant attempts to sabotage the Sochi Olympics represent just a small percentage of the indignities and unwarranted press persecution that he has experienced. The barrage of MSM headlines distorting his stance toward the gay marriage issue completely misdirected what was set to be an extraordinary and elegant XXII Olympic Winter Games. Putin only wanted to clarify Russia’s principled posture toward Russian children being adopted by foreign gay couples. And for this he was relentlessly ridiculed and unjustly misrepresented.
      It is important to point out that the explosion of twisted MSM headlines about this fraudulent and contrived wedge issue, which were trumpeted virtually everywhere, played a significant part in the execution of this CIA-coordinated color revolution. Many Russian politicians and leaders at all levels were preoccupied by the many ploys and plots which served to waste a lot of Russian government time, energy and focus.
      As a matter of fact, there were so many CIA psyops working simultaneously that the Russian response to the Kiev protests was unusually disjointed and uncharacteristically not well thought out. Truly, Putin and Viktor Yanukovych were caught off guard. And the Ukraine President has suffered the profound consequences as a result. Putin should have known better that a swift and decisive response in Kiev was necessary to offset the deep CIA penetration of Kiev society and Ukrainian political establishment.
      Then there are the sticky financial repercussions and economic blowback of this US-EU stage managed coup d’etat.
      “Ukraine is bankrupt with its currency in a meltdown.
      The EU offered Ukraine a mere $160 million per year for the next five years yet the bondrepayments to the IMF were greater than that. In contrast, Putin offered $15 billion and immediately paid $3 billion. The rest is on hold until a stable government is formed.”[1]
      These grim financial realities ought to have sobered up the average Ukrainian citizen real fast, except that they were too busy believing all the false promises being made by the EU & Company. How can the bankrupt EU make good on any of its promises at this point of their collapse? And yet enough protesters showed up in Kiev basing their future on a ‘partnership’ with the sinking EU titanic. Some commentators have presented the case that the US-EU tag team payed off all the key people in the Ukraine political arena to make sure those protestors showed up with molotov cocktails in hand. And so they did!
      Now the new illegitimate government is asking for the president’s head. Viktor Yanukovych was only protecting his country. After being provoked by CIA-coordinated violence and premeditated beatings and killings, he was forced to respond with force. The globalists have ensured his political demise by issuing a fraudulent arrest warrant for murder. The more guilty the globalists are in executing their coup d’etats, the more determined they are to identify the most high profile scapegoat they can find.
      ‘Mass Killing’ Arrest Warrant Issued for Ukraine’s Yanukovych
      Protesters turned Kiev into a war zone, yet the President is blamed for the violence by the US?
      Protesters turned Kiev into a war zone, yet the President is blamed for the violence by the US?
      The globalists have demonstrated, time and again, that they will stop at nothing to achieve their goals. Although their greater agenda is now in total shambles, they have shown themselves to be completely without conscience and savage in its continued implementation. The Ukraine regime change was as savage and brutal as anyone has seen recently on the world stage. The nation has now been plunged into a terrible, French Revolution-like fervor.
      Yanukovich ally shot as Ukraine delays forming new government
      However, because of their willful ignorance of the realities on the ground, the globalists are more likely to commit egregious errors in judgement. So has their historical arrogance blinded them to what is coming around the bend. Russia is no longer operating from the Cold War paradigm. Their leadership has evolved in more positive fashion with a more constructive MO than the US-UK-EU globalists. Because Russia now views the world from a much higher and broader perspective, they are much less likely to make the catastrophic mistakes of their past.
      With Putin at the helm, Russia is now quite likely to plot a much more aggressive course of action. He maintains the posture of a Zen warrior who knows how to wield his samurai sword when necessary. Hailing from St. Petersburg, Russia, he also likes a great game of chess. It is on this regional geo-political chessboard of eastern Asia that his largely Anglo-American opponents will face formidable challenges in the very near future. Just as the Russia Empire and the British Empire squared off against each other seeking supremacy in Central Asia during the first half of the 19th century.
      The Ukraine presents a chess game like no other place on the planet. So, sit back and watch the game unfold. There will never be another one like it.

    5. CommentedStephen Mack

      Read Mr. Mr. Mahdi Darius Nazemroaya' alternative view of Mr. Soros' apologetics, disguised as platitudinous chatter, for the American 5 billion dollar investment in the illegal overthrow of a duly elected government!

    6. Commentedhari naidu

      At this point, sustaining the Ukrainian breakthrough, as Soros argues, is not the realpolitik issue.

      The central issue is how to sustain the breakthrough without avoiding antagonizing the Russians.

      Crimea and the ethnic Russian enclave will not inevitably accept the sovereign rule of the Ukrainians; and without political guarantees a real breakthrough is not feasible – i.e. Crimea will breakout!

    7. Commentednick shimmin

      one admires the sheer neck of Mr Soros to start writing "Ukraine, with its high-quality human capital and diversified economy, is a potentially attractive investment destination" before the dead are even cold. but of course, this is what the whole thing is about, making Ukraine "attractive" to wealthy Western investors, which Mr Yanukovich was not happy to do. the extent to which we now decide that democracy is only democracy when it gives the West the leaders it desires is a chilling geopolitical development, and i suspect it will bring some unthought of chickens home to roost

    8. CommentedZsolt Hermann

      I agree with the writer the the situation in Ukraine is a chance for a new beginning, but I find the article one sided.
      It seems to ignore that a large population of the Ukraine is Russian speaking and feel closer to Russia than to Europe.
      It is a precarious situation which could lead to a breakup or even military confrontation that could explode into a much larger conflict if we do not evaluate and solve the problem with sensitivity and a new vision.
      There is basically no region, country or even city which is not comprised of very different, many times hateful fractions, only kept together by prosperity, or a larger force suppressing their separatism.
      As the global crisis is cutting deeper, those "external" forces, "sweetening" keeping these very shaky alliances are exposed and easily incited into unrest, or even revolution.
      We have been seeing it all through the Middle East, in South America, Thailand, now in the Ukraine, and this process is unlikely to stop as the global crisis seems unsolvable.
      The solution both for the fragile situations like in the Ukraine, and for the global crisis is the same.
      We have to start viewing the global world as the name suggest, global, integral, in other words interconnected and interdependent.
      Instead of thinking in terms of isolation, separation, exploiting the situation for self-calculating purposes, we need to see a single, united system comprised of many, different, unique parts, where each part could insert its uniqueness into the whole building a beautiful mosaic that is quantitatively much more evolved then the same picture where the parts are separated.
      Instead of competition, opposition, oppression, exploitation we need complementing cooperation.
      Human existence in a mutual, global, integral way could break through into a dimension we haven't even dreamed about before.
      At present we are killing ourselves as cancer cells as we cannot even fathom working together above and despite our differences, rejection, even hatred.
      We cannot delete, wipe out what is separating us but we can learn how to build something mutually above it and the attraction of the prosperity, safety, peace and sustainability in such a state is unprecedented, unheard of.
      So in the case of the Ukraine instead of trying to meddle in their business, trying to exploit the situation for any personal or national or even regional gain we should think about how to use this unique opportunity to build a bridge in between Europe and Russia, and all the other neighboring nations given the Ukraine's unique position.

    9. Commenteddavid ursiny

      Is this one of those tricks where somebody writes a sorry and signs soros name, because what you see in the ukraines street will be in every nations streets, unless you have some kind of controls that will stop the biggest financial sell off in the history of the markets, global markets to prevent the bankruptcy of your global system, starting with any kind of energy stocks, and global banks holding the debt of that energy complex, from the day of the beast of the fields, yea I'm talking technology beast of the fields, a new fiery law of magnetic mechanical physics, that has something to say about how things are done on this earth, a new class of self powered permanent field/inducted field motors, that use repulsion of like permanent fields for motion along with inducted fields to perpetuate that motion, that are charged and discharged in timed mechanical sequences,turning an axle for free with no external costs no fossil fuels needed, that's a pretty big deal right there, come up with a plan earthman to save yourself for the day coming upon the whole face of the earth, the visitation