Демократический алмаз безопасности Азии

Dec 27, 2012 Abe Shinzō

ТОКИО – Летом 2007 г., выступая в Центральном зале парламента Индии в качестве премьер-министра Японии, я говорил о «Слиянии двух морей» (эту фразу я взял из названия книги, написанной могольским принцем Мухаммадом Дарой Шукохом в 1655 г.), что вызвало бурные аплодисменты и большое одобрение присутствовавших законодателей. Пять лет спустя я еще более твердо уверен, что те мои слова были правильными.

Мир, стабильность и свобода судоходства в Тихом океане неотделимы от мира, стабильности и свободы судоходства в Индийском океане. События, затрагивающие эти океаны, тесно связаны друг с другом как никогда прежде. Япония, как старейшая морская демократическая страна Азии, должна играть более заметную роль в сохранении всеобщего благосостояния в обоих регионах.

Но Южно-Китайское море становится все больше похожим на «пекинское озеро», которое, по словам аналитиков, будет для Китая тем, чем для советской России было Охотское море: море, достаточно глубокое для того, чтобы Военно-морской флот Народно-освободительной армии Китая (НОАК) смог базировать здесь свои ударные атомные подводные лодки, способные осуществлять пуск ракет с ядерными боеголовками. Вскоре вновь построенные авианосцы ВМФ НОАК будут обычным зрелищем, чего более чем достаточно, чтобы напугать соседей Китая.

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0 Comments on this paragraph, 14 Comments on this article

Satya Narayan Jena Sep 26, 2020

My salute to the great leader Abe. His vision outlined here is prophetic indeed.
Today in 2020, the world is rattled not merely by a pandemic originating in China, but also by its belligerence. Democratic world powers can no longer remain naive to the omnivorous expansionism of the Chinese trade & business worldwide.
Peace can never be de-hyphenated from Democracy. Democratic powers like the US, Germany, UK, France must join & support democracies in the Indo-Pacific to ensure global peace & prosperity. Today, Abe's vision is more timely than ever.
My prayers for Abe's speedy recovery & good health. 💐
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Yoshimichi Moriyama Jan 12, 2013

Yoko is pehaps not very right as she said, "Japan actually doesn't want America's protection any more."

The U.S.-Japanese security ties are based on the fact and on the recognition of the two countires that they share basic social and political values and that they are firmly commited to the protection, preservation and promotion of these values in East Asia.
- Yoko Mada Jan 14, 2013
  
  That part, I was referring to post war regime that Japan is still under, which we need to abandon.
  
  Why would we want to stick to the system which is not efficient - The President of America always have to make a decision when there is a need for their help?
  
  First of all, which government can't protect its own country? OH JAPAN!
  
  Japan having their own military is a must. As this man from India has written below, it'd be better for other countries that are on Japanese side as well. "Cooperation" with the States is what's needed, not their control. You might think Japanese military force can't be that strong so fast, but I know we have the technology already - the only problem is the procedure. Also, I went to listen to Mr. Tamogami's speech yesterday and he made it clear that Chinese military force isn't a threat. We are rather in "information war," which has implanted that thought in us. They do have military power, though, as this article is suggesting.
  
  My point is, Japan needs to get independent, and lead the rest of the Asian countries with our technology and order, hopefully with a help of America.
  And I agree with this article, to create a security diamond.
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- Yoko Mada Jan 14, 2013
  
  That part, I was referring to post war regime that Japan is still under, which we need to abandon.
  
  Why would we want to stick to the system which is not efficient - The President of America always have to make a decision when there is a need for their help?
  
  First of all, which government can't protect its own country? OH JAPAN!
  
  Japan having their own military is a must. As this man from India has written below, it'd be better for other countries that are on Japanese side as well. "Cooperation" with the States is what's needed, not their control. You might think Japanese military force can't be that strong so fast, but I know we have the technology already - the only problem is the procedure. Also, I went to listen to Mr. Tamogami's speech yesterday and he made it clear that Chinese military force isn't a threat. We are rather in "information war," which has implanted that thought in us. They do have military power, though, as this article is suggesting.
  
  My point is, Japan needs to get independent, and lead the rest of the Asian countries with our technology and order, hopefully with a help of America.
  And I agree with this article, to create a security diamond.
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Satvinder Singh Rai Jan 10, 2013

Like and dislike or other forms of sentiments play no part in the affairs of nations and states - only national interests and raison d'etat. As Lord Palmerston a British statesman in the first half of 19th century said, "England has no eternal friends, England has no perpetual enemies, England has only eternal and perpetual interests." And in the same vein Gen Charles de Gaulle said, "France has no friends, only interests." India and Japan share the same geo-political interests in constraining China from threatening their security and national interests. Japan has long been tied to US apron strings but can no longer rely on the unqualified American readiness to protect Japanese interests. It has now to design for the future its own strategy and seek new alliances and partnerships. In the face of a common threat it makes geo-political sense to pool efforts and plan jointly for the future. In that sense, Shinzo Abe's democratic security diamond serves the interests of India, Japan, Australia and the US. It is to be welcomed.
- Yoko Mada Jan 11, 2013
  
  Japan actually doesn't want America's protection anymore - or haven't all along. A lot of us had believed from the education and the system GHQ had created that America "protects" us, but lately the citizens here have been awakening that it was the way to make sure we won't be any threat to the States any longer. Now the U.S has shifted their eyes to China rather than Japan as you probably know but that is how it is.
  GHQ probably didn't think that it would last for 67 years but it has. We don't rely on America's protection as it seems, and rather, we have been trying to have a "military" instead of "self-defense force" which doesn't let us to have preemptive attacks, and not only that, if SDF kill someone even for using the right of self-defense, they can be "guilty." Of course, we do not want this system because we can't protect our own country. Plus, we pay for US bases. We are not allowed to have anything threatening like nuclear weapons etc because of the rules to begin with. That's why countries like China and Korea think that we won't do anything and they can do whatever the want.
  But Except that, I agree with your geo-political view. I think the globalization should be about those who wanna get together getting together and leave the old fashioned nations alone.
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captainjohann Samuhanand Jan 10, 2013

As an Indian, I find this sudden love for India rather simplistic.Japan is part of G8. Even during apartheid era it wanted to be part of white nations. It could not understand India's need for nuclear weapons when China has ongoing territorial dispute with it.China invaded India and defeated it in 1962 when Soviet union and USA were eye ball. I donot think USA will fight a war with China to save Japan. I can understand Japan's abhorrence for nukes due to history. But now it is surrounded by nuclear China and North korea. It has to go nuclear to ensure its own security.That will give India a sense of belonging to a strong nation mentally also and not weighed down by history.
- Yoko Mada Jan 11, 2013
  
  You are very right.
  We have nuclear weapons to NOT use them - we have it for our security. Japan has been very vulnerable and it's a miracle that the country has stayed fine for the past 67 years.
  I heard our Prime Minister has made a wonderful speech in India. I haven't listened to it yet but I hope India will welcome - as far as I can see, you guys seem to like it? Japan loves India! I really hope our countries will be close to each other and be a good team :)
  - 007saisurya Dec 13, 2018
    
    Shinzo abe is probably one of the most liked leaders in india and this i would say for most of the youth who are students of international relations its not just his relations with india but also his neo liberal policies with utmost realism that have garnered a lot of attention here. Abenomics is something everyone wants to replicate and the speech regarding confluence of the oceans definitely struck a chord touches the emotional side you see
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Yoshimichi Moriyama Jan 10, 2013

Moctor Aboubacar,
I understand the British Forces can go to distant overseas lands to fight. The Japanese Self-Defences Forces are not so constructed as to be able to engage in battles in distant lands but in Japan's contiguous areas; they are also so made as to best operate in conjunction, as a sort of subsidiary, with the U.S. Forces.

Japanese foreign policy has been neglectful of its South East Asian neighbours including Austalia and New Zealand.
The governments of these countries have wanted Japan to pay more attention and respect to them, strengthening its ties with them.

As for the Senkaku/Diaoyu Isles, the Japanese governmet said to China, "Take," in 1880 but China said, "No, thank you." If interested, please read Mich Moriyama's comments dated Oct. 18 and 19, 2012 to www.nytimes.com/The Inconveniet Truth Behind The Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands.
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Moctar Aboubacar Jan 3, 2013

This is a scary and dangerous article.

The first half of this is textbook rationalization: you paint a terrifying picture of what will happen if Japan does not 'stand strong' against Chinese claims on those islands, but at no point is the issue of legitimacy raised. At no point do you say why Japan's claim to that territory is more legitimate than China's. And in doing that you're telling your reader that in the end, it's not really important, that it should go to Japan because China is too strong and threatening a power in the region. That is not reason, it is rationalization.

Worse still, in the second half of this text you reverse your previous logic by arguing for strengthened military alliances with Europe and the US for Japan.

What you are saying to a European or American ruler is essentially: "Scared of the Chinese? Well, then pick our side in this standoff!"

The Cold War ended a long time ago, Mr. Abe
- Yoko Mada Jan 8, 2013
  
  This article isn't scary, what's scary is that China has been trying to have a fait accompli in order to take over the place later, although the island apparently is Japanese. If you search "Glorious Japan Forever" on YouTube on this issue, the video should satisfy you on that fact.
  
  If you have learned a bit about the history of China, which is 1600 years of occupation after fighting with each other one after another, you must realize that they're the type of country who do not care much about the rules based on the historical incidents or whatsoever and they just come get whatever they want.
  You might think of the country as a country but a lot of the papers and books even, they were preserved by Japan, not China. Why? Because whenever there was a new government established, it ended soon after, and they destroyed everything.
  
  They have strengthened their military power as you should probably know, but the thing is that they did that using JAPANESE money called ODA, which was meant for having a peace with them. Japan has tried. Japanese citizens are even angry for how the Japanese politicians back then did whatever they could have done to establish peace with them regardless of Chinese propaganda, which made them spend so much money as a result.
  
  A lot of people misunderstand China. Yes, they have developed a lot over the past few decades economically, but that doesn't mean that they have developed mentally as well. By mentally, I mean the manner of following rules and so on as a country that can work with each other internationally. It's a cultural difference that we cannot easily overcome.
  
  To reinforce that, yesterday, some citizens have stood up for themselves since the government made the news company revise one of their articles as the government had pressured the company and that resulted in infringing on their freedom of speech. This is what "Communism" brings.
  
  This article is only suggesting that we should all bond internationally so that we can stop China from being a baby with loaded guns in their hands.
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