Por qué sobrevive Musharraf

Las recientes amenazas de parte de la administración Bush de recortar miles de millones de dólares en ayuda a Pakistán generaron pánico en los círculos oficiales. Por otra parte, según el embajador paquistaní en Washington, los ataques militares norteamericanos contra refugios de Al-Qaeda y de los talibanes dentro de las zonas tribales paquistaníes desestabilizarían a Pakistán y "posiblemente derrocarían al general Pervez Musharraf". Ahora bien, ¿cuán preocupadas deben estar, realmente, las autoridades paquistaníes frente a la creciente presión norteamericana para erradicar a los militantes islámicos?

Dejando de lado las frustraciones ocasionales, en realidad es improbable que Estados Unidos se manifieste en contra de un aliado fiel –y dependiente-, en especial un aliado cuyo líder mantiene relaciones personales cordiales con Bush. Y, por una falta de oposición organizada, el enojo público frente a la política pro-norteamericana de Musharraf tampoco desestabilizará a su régimen. De hecho, el artero general-presidente no sólo sobrevive a una crisis tras otra, sino que se fortaleció en el poder.

¿Cómo lo hace? La respuesta reside en una estrategia finamente pulida, perfeccionada con el correr de los años, que contemporiza entre las demandas norteamericanas y los intereses de los jefes de inteligencia locales, los mullahs, los líderes tribales, los políticos venales y una serie de cazafortunas. Redes de intriga y protagonistas sombríos oscurecen los detalles, pero las prioridades son inconfundibles.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.


Log in

  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.