La capacidad de resistencia de los mercados en ascenso

NUEVA YORK – Cuando la mayor parte del mundo está centrada en la inestabilidad económica y el crecimiento anémico en los países avanzados, los países en desarrollo, con la posible excepción de China, han recibido relativamente poca atención, pero, como grupo, las economías con mercados en ascenso se han visto afectadas negativamente por la reciente desaceleración en los países desarrollados. ¿Podrán recuperarse por sí solas?

Las más importantes economías en ascenso fueron los principales motores de crecimiento del mundo tras el estallido de la crisis financiera en 2008 y, hasta cierto punto, siguen siéndolo, pero su resistencia ha dependido siempre de su capacidad para engendrar un incremento suficiente de la demanda agregada a fin de apoyar su crecimiento, sin tener que compensar una gran pérdida de la demanda en los países desarrollados.

La combinación de un crecimiento insignificante (o incluso negativo) en Europa y una importante desaceleración del crecimiento en los Estados Unidos ha producido ahora esa pérdida, con lo que ha socavado las exportaciones de las economías en ascenso. Europa es un importante destino de las exportaciones para muchos países en desarrollo y el mayor mercado exterior de China. Este último países, a su vez, un importante mercado para los productos finales, los bienes intermedios (incluidos los utilizados para producir los productos acabados para la exportación) y los productos básicos. De modo, que el efecto dominó del estancamiento económico de Europa se ha extendido rápidamente al resto de Asia y a otros continentes.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/ZyNcn5T/es;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now