寻找阿拉伯的让·莫内

毫无疑问中东是全世界最危险的危机高发区。下一场战争、恐怖袭击或和平倡议的失败都使其四伏的危机随时可能爆发。相对于这一地区的政治局势来说,坐过山车的感觉应该算是让人十分心平气和的了。

然而,也正是中东这样一个地区,经过了无数的冲突后,几乎没有发生任何变化,至今仍在一种怪异的停滞不前的状态中煎熬。大部分的中东地区的社会缺乏发展的活力,而且该地区是如此容易发生危机,这两者之间一定存在着内在的联系。

以色列和巴勒斯坦之间的冲突,是这一重要地缘政治区域的停滞不前的一个突出例子,因为这种冲突似乎完全不受任何国际形势动荡的影响。土耳其人、英国人、非殖民化、冷战、多任美国总统,甚至更多的国际调停人士来了又去,可是这一冲突的各种特征,以及找不到解决办法的困窘,似乎从未改变过。

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