tech factory Frederico Scoppa | Stringer via getty images

Америка против свободной торговли?

КЕМБРИДЖ (США) – Рост популизма, направленного против свободной торговли, в американской избирательной кампании 2016 года предвещает опасное отступление Америки от своей роли в мировых делах. Во имя сокращения имущественного неравенства в США президентские кандидаты в обеих партиях готовы удушить надежды сотен миллионов отчаянно бедных людей из развивающихся стран когда-нибудь присоединиться к среднему классу. Если политический запрос на меры против свободной торговли окажется долговременным, это станет историческим, поворотным моментом в делах мировой экономики, предвещающим грустное будущее американскому лидерству.

Республиканский кандидат в президенты Дональд Трамп предлагает ввести ошеломляющий 45%-ый налог на импорт китайских товаров в США. Этот план апеллирует к тем многочисленным американцам, которые уверены, что Китай богатеет за счёт несправедливых методов торговли. Однако при всех своих невероятных успехах, достигнутых за последние десятилетия, Китай остаётся развивающейся страной, в которой значительная часть населения живёт в невообразимой по западным стандартам нищете.

Например, в новом пятилетнем плане Китая поставлена задача вывести из нищеты 55 миллионов человек к 2020 году, при этом черта бедности определена всего лишь в 2300 юаней, или $354, в год на человека. Да, есть значительная разница в стоимости жизни, которая делает прямые сравнения сомнительными, и да, бедность является не только экономическим явлением, но и социальным, по крайней мере, в развитых странах; однако в целом совершенно очевидно, что уровень неравенства между разными странами значительно превышает неравенство внутри отдельных стран.

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