Shell Oil drilling platform Tom Doyle/Flickr

Het Parijse klimaatspektakel

OTTAWA – De VN-Klimaatconferentie in Parijs in december zal verlopen volgens de strakke choreografie van een Hollywoodproductie. De cast zal enorm zijn: presidenten en premiers in de hoofdrol, ondersteund door duizenden figuranten, waaronder demonstranten, oproerpolitie, en wagonladingen media. Het script is nog geheim, maar de plot is al uitgelekt: in scherp contrast met de mislukte onderhandelingen in Kopenhagen wint de planeet deze keer.

Het is een verleidelijk plot, maar een dat niet bepaald samenhangend is. De wereld zal verteld worden dat goede wil en hard onderhandelen deze keer uitbetaalden. Overheden hebben toegestemd in vrijwillige verminderingen van de uitstoot van broeikasgassen die zullen voorkomen dat de wereld meer dan 2 graden Celsius opwarmt. Dan zal er door middel van een verbluffende deus ex machina worden onthuld dat de grootste fossiele brandstoffenproducenten – de zogenoemde supermajors – er mee hebben ingestemd hun netto-uitstoot in 2100 tot nul te hebben teruggebracht, door koolstof bij de bron af te vangen, het uit de atmosfeer te zuigen, en het ondergronds op te slaan. De planeet zal gered zijn, en de economie zal vrij kunnen bloeien. Muziek en eindtitels.

Het probleem is dat dit script fictie is en geen realiteit. De benodigde technologie is nog niet uitgevonden en het terugbrengen van de netto-uitstoot tot nul is gewoonweg onmogelijk. En net zoals bij een Hollywoodproductie zal de boodschap van de conferentie in Parijs zwaar worden beïnvloed door degenen met het meeste geld.

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