A Way Out for Ukraine and Russia
Finding a solution to the crisis in Ukraine will require the resolution of a dispute between Russia and the West over NATO's enlargement into what Russia regards as its sphere of influence. The parties to the conflict would be wise to take a lesson from the diplomatic efforts that helped bring the original Cold War to an end.
LONDON – The leaders of Russia and Ukraine will meet in Astana, Kazakstan, on January 15 to discuss, once again, an end to the fighting that has roiled eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region since last spring. Hopes for a viable agreement are not high.
One reason why the crisis in Ukraine has proved so difficult to overcome is that its roots stretch far outside the country’s borders. Finding a genuine solution will require the resolution of a dispute between Russia and the West that dates back to the 1990s, before Russian President Vladimir Putin came to power.
At its heart, the conflict in Ukraine is about a disagreement over NATO’s expansion into what Russia regards as its “near abroad.” Fortunately, a solution is possible – but it will require a reworking of Europe’s security architecture.