Lituanian soldiers in NATO exercise Petras Malukas/Stringer

Head for the Bunkers?

After years of turmoil and uncertainty, we should assume that more surprising “black swan” events are around the corner, especially now that Donald Trump is moving into the White House. From Donbas to North Korea to the Gulf region, there is no shortage of places where developments could take a shocking turn.

RIYADH – In August 2015, I tweeted that if Donald Trump were to be elected President of the United States, we would have to “head for the bunkers.”

A Trump presidency was considered highly unlikely back then; but here we are. And while heading for the bunkers might not be the most appropriate response (yet), where we are is undoubtedly a more dangerous world.

Nearly two years ago, former US National Security Adviser and Secretary of State Henry Kissinger warned the Senate Armed Services Committee that, “as we look around the world, we encounter upheaval and conflict.” As Kissinger observed at the time, “the United States has not faced a more diverse and complex array of crises since the end of the Second World War.”

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