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La elección de Trump sobre cambio climático

WASHINGTON, DC – Planificar. Esa es la clave para una acción militar exitosa -y, en muchos sentidos, para el éxito en general- y los Marines de Estados Unidos como yo se enorgullecen de ello. Pero si uno pasó 30 años en el ejército, como es mi caso, sabe que un plan efectivo no puede ser estático; los ambientes operativos cambian, muchas veces de maneras sorprendentes e inesperadas. La victoria de Donald Trump en la elección presidencial de Estados Unidos a comienzos de este mes constituye ese tipo de cambio.

Puede pasar mucho tiempo antes de que entendamos plenamente el nuevo entorno operativo. Pero debemos empezar a hacer ajustes -y seguir ajustando en tanto nuevos datos salgan a la luz-. De otra manera, corremos el riesgo de volvernos vulnerables a amenazas estratégicas serias -la mayor de las cuales probablemente sea el cambio climático.

El incremento de la temperatura de la superficie de la Tierra representa un giro fundamental en el entorno operativo global, tanto desde un punto de vista económico como militar. No es simplemente que algunas llamadas "elites" piensen que el clima se va a volver un poco más cálido. El cambio climático no es trivial; tampoco lo son sus implicancias para la seguridad.

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