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¿Por qué Trump?

NUEVA YORK – En los viajes que realicé por todo el mundo durante las últimas semanas me pidieron, repetidamente, que responda dos preguntas: ¿es concebible que Donald Trump podría llegar a ganar la presidencia de Estados Unidos?; y, en primer lugar, ¿cómo llegó su candidatura tan lejos?

En cuanto a la primera pregunta, a pesar de que es más difícil realizar un pronóstico político que uno económico, se puede decir que las probabilidades se inclinan fuertemente a favor de Hillary Clinton. Incluso así, el hecho de que ambos competidores se encuentren uno muy cerca del otro en la carrera (al menos hasta hace muy poco) ha sido un misterio: Hillary Clinton es una de las personas más calificadas y mejor preparadas que haya candidateado a la presidencia de Estados Unidos, mientras que Trump es una de las menos cualificadas y peor preparadas. Aún más, la campaña de Trump sobrevivió comportamientos por parte de Trump que habrían puesto fin a las posibilidades de cualquier otro candidato en el pasado.

Entonces, ¿por qué los estadounidenses están jugando a la ruleta rusa (con esto se quiere decir que existe al menos una posibilidad entre seis de una victoria Trump)? Las personas que están fuera de EE.UU. quieren saber la respuesta, ya que el resultado les afecta también, a pesar de que no tienen influencia sobre el mismo.

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