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Pourquoi Trump ?

NEW YORK – J'ai voyagé à travers le monde ces dernières semaines et un peu partout on m'a posé deux questions : Donald Trump peut-il remporter l'élection présidentielle américaine ? Comment se fait-il qu'il ait obtenu l'investiture d'un parti politique ?

En ce qui concerne la première question, bien que les prévisions soient encore plus risquées en politique qu'en économie, c'est probablement Hillary Clinton qui l'emportera. Néanmoins le faible écart entre les deux candidats (au moins jusqu'à il y a peu) reste un mystère : de toute l'histoire des présidentielles, Clinton fait partie des candidats les plus compétents et les mieux préparés que les USA n'aient jamais eu, tandis que Trump est l'un des moins compétents et des plus mal préparés. Et il a pu rester en lice malgré un comportement qui dans le passé aurait annihilé toutes les chances d'un candidat.

Dans ces conditions, pourquoi les Américains jouent-ils à la roulette russe (c'est bien la réalité dans la mesure où il a une chance sur six de l'emporter) ?  C'est la question que se pose le reste du monde, car le résultat de l'élection l'affectera, alors qu'il ne participe pas au processus.

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