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Trump speaking at economic club Spencer Platt/Getty Images

Le boom Trump?

CAMBRIDGE – Après des années d'hibernation, l'économie américaine se réveillera-t-elle pour signer son grand retour au cours des deux prochaines années? Avec une administration républicaine qui veut à tout prix relancer une économie déjà près du plein emploi, des promesses de restrictions commerciales qui font augmenter le prix des produits de substitution aux importations, et l'indépendance de la banque centrale qui sera probablement attaquée, il est quasiment certain que l'inflation augmentera – dépassant probablement 3 % à certains moments. Et la croissance de la production pourrait surprendre elle aussi, pouvant atteindre 4%, au moins temporairement.

Impossible dites-vous? Pas du tout.

L'économie semble déjà croître à un rythme annuel de 3%. Et même les plus fermes opposants aux politiques économiques du président élu Trump seraient forcés d’admettre qu'elles sont résolument pro-business (à l'exception notable du commerce).

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