With a likely rematch between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election, America and the rest of the world were heading into a perilous period even before the latest conflagration in the Middle East. Turmoil in the region will cloud the broader economic outlook – and could dim Biden’s chances.
worries global economic and political developments will put Donald Trump back in the White House.
It is hard to see anything good coming from the current spasm of violence between Israel and Hamas. But this tragedy, which has forced both Israelis and Palestinians to stare into the abyss, might prove to be a turning point that will clear the path for a lasting peace.
considers how the current conflagration might pave the way for a solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Around the world, foreign-policy strategists are grappling with new international dynamics, from the Sino-American rivalry and ongoing hot wars to the broader breakdown in multilateral global governance. However, there is much debate about whether global power and alignments are truly shifting, and in what ways.
consider whether the world will become more multipolar or “non-aligned” in the new year.
纽约——亚利桑那州马里科帕县前警长乔·阿帕约因为公然违抗联邦法官的命令,拒绝停止以抓捕非法移民为名义对拉美人进行种族区分和随意拘留而被判犯有藐视法庭罪。阿帕约所引发的此类争议并不罕见。但目前正在引发激烈争论的是美国总统唐纳德·特朗普最近对阿帕约的赦免,因为它提出了有关总统赦免权的根本性问题,而赦免权问题从美国诞生之日起就一直是美国决策过程的一部分。
在君主制下,国王可以有权不受限制地赦免公民的罪行。而美国宪法第二条第二款规定,美国的开国元勋赋予总统类似的权力,但同时还规定了两条关键的限制因素。其一来源于权力分离原则:赦免不适用于遭受弹劾的情况,而弹劾与否的决定权由国会掌握。另外一种限制来自联邦制:赦免仅限适用于“反美国”或联邦罪行,而对由美国50个州起诉的罪行不适用。
赦免权的授予反映了美国宪法制定者担心刑法法典执行的方式可能过于严厉,从而造成过度惩罚的问题。正如亚历山大·汉密尔顿在联邦党人文集第74篇中所论述的那样,“每一个国家的刑法法典都无法避免必要的严厉性,如果没有对不幸过失的赦免机制,司法就会摆出一副过于血腥和残酷的面孔。”
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