Jon Krause


发自巴黎 —— 如果要在全世界范围内找一个既能赋予所有国家以投票权,又奉行少数服从多数原则的议事机构,那就非联合国大会莫属了。该大会的决议方式并不遵照全体同意原则,也没有设立任何否决权,而这也恰恰是它为什么没被用来对抗气候变化的原因。因为大会可以忽略那些大国所设立的障碍 —— 比如中国和美国在去年 12 月哥本哈根全球气候峰会上的所作所为。

毫无疑问,联合国从前一直都在气候变化问题上扮演着领导角色。自从 1992 年在里约热内卢签订了《联合国气候变化框架协议》 (UN Framework Convention on Climate Change) 以来,几乎每年都会召开一个“团体会议” (Conference of Parties, COP) 。这些会议通常是技术性的,而且讨论往往也仅限于大使级别。但这些外交人员的会议准备工作有时也需要得到部长级官员甚至是政府最高首脑的拍板,正如 1997 年的京都会议以及去年的哥本哈根 COP15 峰会。


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  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

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    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

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    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

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    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

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    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

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    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.