Реальная стоимость войны в Ираке

Самые важные вещи в жизни – как и сама жизнь - бесценны. Но это не означает того, что вопросы, касающиеся сохранения жизни (или определённого образа жизни), как, например, оборона страны, не должны решаться посредством холодного и жесткого экономического анализа.

Незадолго до начала текущей войны в Ираке экономист из Администрации Буша Лари Линдсей предположил, что затраты на данную кампанию составят от 100 до 200 миллиардов долларов. Это вызвало резкие возражения со стороны остальных экономистов. Например, Митч Дэниелс, глава Административно-бюджетного управления при президенте США, оценил все затраты в 60 миллиардов долларов. Как стало видно теперь, Линдсей сильно недооценил возможные издержки военной кампании.

Беспокоясь о том, что Администрация Буша может вводить нас в заблуждение относительно издержек войны в Ираке, так же как она делала это касательно оружия массового поражения и связи Ирака с Аль-Каидой, Линда Билмз, специалист по бюджетной политике из Гарвардского университета, и я объединились, чтобы исследовать данную проблему. Даже мы, оппоненты данной войны, были поражены тем, что обнаружили: по самым скромным оценкам стоимость военной компании оказалась равной почти триллиону долларов, а по умеренным оценкам – более чем двум триллионам.

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