Paul Lachine

第二次大收缩

坎布里奇——

为何所有人在提到最近的金融危机时都称之为“大衰退”?毕竟,这个称谓是建立在对美国和其他国家所面临的问题的危险误判以及其引发的错误预期和糟糕政策的基础上的。

 “大衰退”一词容易让人以为经济是在按常规衰退的套路发展,只是程度更为严重一些,就好比说“严寒”一样。这就是为什么在整个经济低迷期里,预测家和分析师始终在试图将其与美国前几次战后衰退相比,结果呢?错得离谱。此外,太多的政客倚赖这样的信念:待得云消雾散后来看,这只是一场深度衰退而已,可以用常规政策工具——不管是财政政策还是大规模援助计划——来克服,只是剂量需要用得大一点而已。

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