El creciente precio de la naturaleza

Hoy en día una tendencia global fundamental es la creciente escasez de recursos naturales. Los precios del petróleo y el gas natural se han ido a las nubes. Los precios de los alimentos también han aumentado de manera importante, causando penurias en los pobres y grandes cambios en los ingresos entre países y entre áreas rurales y urbanas.

La razón más básica del aumento de los precios de los recursos naturales es el fuerte crecimiento, particularmente en India y China, países que se han vuelto expertos en producir bienes y servicios globalmente competitivos, y sus ya grandes economías están duplicando su tamaño cada 7 a 10 años. Sin embargo, este crecimiento está tensando los límites físicos de las reservas de tierras, madera, reservas de petróleo y gas, además de otras limitaciones naturales. Así, donde sea que los bienes y servicios relacionados con recursos naturales se comercian en mercados (como ocurre con la energía y los alimentos), los precios están aumentando. Cuando no se comercian en mercados (como es el caso del aire puro) el resultado es la contaminación y el agotamiento, en lugar de aumentos en los precios.

El alza de los precios mundiales de los alimentos es notable: uno de sus índices (en dólares estadounidenses) aumentó en cerca de 40% en los últimos 12 meses. Hay muchas razones para esto, pero el punto de partida es el mayor consumo de alimentos, otra vez impulsado fuertemente por el crecimiento económico de China. La población china está comiendo más, particularmente más carne, lo que a su vez exige la importación de mayores volúmenes de alimentos para animales producidos con soya y maíz. La escasez de agua y tierras en China hace poco plausible el que pueda satisfacer la creciente demanda con su producción interna.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/AH9aRg2/es;
  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.