2008-2009年的经济大通缩

剑桥——

在经济预测学家和市场乐观者中,流行着这么一种的说法:“危机越深,复苏越快。”他们说对了——至少对于一般危机而言是如此,经济复苏一般都会在12个月中见成效。不幸的是,2008—2009年的这次大危机和以往的远远不同。

本次大衰退是由金融危机而引发加剧的,潜伏的时期越长,后果的影响就越持久。正如我和卡门•莱因哈特合著的新书《这次不同了:800年的金融陷阱》中所写的那样:本次大衰退可称为“大紧缩”——全球信贷,贸易和经济成长迅速而大幅度地收缩。

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