Осеннее похмелье еврозоны

Во-первых, пакет мер по спасению в мае суммой в триллион долларов предотвратил немедленный дефолт Греции и распад еврозоны. Но теперь суверенные спреды в периферийных странах еврозоны вернулись на уровни, сравнимые с пиком кризиса в мае.

Во-вторых, сфабрикованное вранье о финансовых «стресс-тестах» стремится убедить рынки, что европейским банкам нужно только 3,5 миллиарда евро свежего капитала. Но сейчас один только Англо-Ирландский имеет финансовую дыру в 70 миллиардов евро, вызывая серьезную озабоченность относительно жизнеспособности других ирландских, испанских, греческих и немецких банков.

И, наконец, временное ускорение роста в еврозоне во втором квартале поддержало финансовые рынки и евро, но теперь ясно, что улучшение было кратковременным. ВВП всех периферийных стран еврозоны все еще либо сокращаются (Испания, Ирландия, Греция), либо едва растут (Италия и Португалия).

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