Chris Van Es

Le résistible déclin de l'Amérique

CAMBRIDGE - Les États-Unis traversent une période difficile. Leur reprise après 2008 a ralenti et certains observateurs craignent que les problèmes financiers de l'Europe ne fassent basculer l'économie américaine et mondiale dans une seconde recession.

La politique américaine continue par ailleurs à s’enferrer dans les questions budgétaires et le compromis sera encore plus difficile à la veille de l'élection de 2012, où les républicains espèrent que les problèmes économiques les aideront à renverser le président Barack Obama. Dans ces circonstances, beaucoup prédisent le déclin de l'Amérique, surtout par rapport à la Chine.

Et les experts ne sont les seuls à penser cela. Un récent sondage Pew a révélé que dans 15 des 22 pays sondés, la plupart des gens croient que la Chine soit remplacera soit a déjà remplacé l'Amérique comme « superpuissance leader dans le monde ». En Grande-Bretagne, ceux qui placent la Chine première sont passés de 34% en 2009 à 47%. Des tendances similaires sont sensibles en Allemagne, en Espagne et en France. En effet, le sondage a révélé des vues plus pessimistes des États-Unis parmi nos alliés les plus anciens et les plus proches, par rapport à l’Amérique latine, au Japon, à la Turquie et à l'Europe de l’Est. Mais même les Américains sont également divisés quant à savoir si la Chine remplacera les États-Unis en tant que superpuissance mondiale.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.


Log in;
  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.