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公众意识往往落于俗套。但是,当社会精英意识也落于俗套时,情况就大为不妙了。这对于当今的俄罗斯而言就是如此。
西方和国内的自由派圈子通常将弗拉基米尔·普京的政府描绘为日益专制和政令不通。如果非自由、特别是个人化的政权被认为最为不稳定,那么,符合逻辑的结论就是,在格鲁吉亚、乌克兰以及吉尔吉斯坦发生的“颜色革命”有可能在俄罗斯重演。
当然,当今的俄罗斯任何事情都是可能的。但是,我认为对于那些呼吁“颜色革命”的人而言,不切实际的想象要大于严谨的逻辑。
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