Китайская угроза, часть вторая?

Тупик в дискуссиях о том, должен ли Европейский союз снять эмбарго на экспорт Китая на самом деле намного более широкий и более острый вопрос: видит ли администрация Буша в очередной раз в Китае своего стратегического конкурента, как это было в начале президентства Буша, до того, как война с терроризмом вынудила его искать сотрудничество с правительством Китая? А Япония, присоединившись к позиции Соединенных Штатов, которые наряду с Тайванем выступают против снятия эмбарго ЕС с Китая только подтверждает это.

Никогда прежде позиция японского правительства так близко не совпадала с позицией американской администрации по тайваньскому вопросу. Когда в 1996 году две эти страны переоформили свои союзные взаимоотношения, сфера оперативной военной деятельности Японии была гораздо шире главного японского острова. Но правительство сознательно оставалось неопределенным в своих обязательствах и отказывалось прояснить географические границы действий оборонительных сил Японии.

Спустя почти десять лет Япония готова к стратегической ясности. Синзо Абе - действующий генеральный секретарь правящей японской либерально-демократической партии и лидирующий кандидат на пост приемника Дзюнъитиро Коидзуми, японского премьер-министра, в следующем году, выразился прямо: для Японии было бы неправильным подать знак Китаю, что США и Япония будут наблюдать и допустят китайское военное вторжение в Tайвань.

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