Les Chimères de la puissance gazière de la Russie

La Russie a ouvert l’année 2006 en mettant un frein à ses exportations de gaz vers l’Ukraine quand le gouvernement de celle-ci a refusé une augmentation des prix du gaz, multipliés par 4, et jusque là subventionné. La crise ukrainienne, dont les nombreuses industries post-soviétiques dépendent du gaz russe acheté bon marché, s’est rapidement étendue à l’Europe, qui consomme 80 % des exportations russes de gaz, quand l’Ukraine a commencé à détourner du gaz depuis le pipeline qui traverse son territoire.

Il est alors ironique que 2006 soit également l'année où la Russie prend la présidence du G8 qui doit se réunir à Moscou au printemps. Le sujet de la conférence que le président russe, Vladimir Poutine, a choisi, aussi invraisemblable que cela soit, est la sécurité des sources d'énergie.

Bien qu’elle ne soit plus une superpuissance, la Russie possède de vastes réserves de pétrole et de gaz qui en font une superpuissance des sources d’énergie, et M. Poutine semble déterminé à jouer cette carte. Le pétrole offre un peu moins de puissance économique que le gaz parce que c’est un bien fongible et l’interruption de l’approvisionnement peut être compensé par des achats sur les marchés mondiaux. Le gaz quant à lui coûte cher à acheminer, car il dépend de pipelines coûteux ou d'installations de liquéfaction du gaz qui ne peuvent pas être rapidement remplacées quand le flot est interrompu.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.


Log in

  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.