Dean Rohrer

Europas Drama Teil II – die „deutsche“ Krise

Please note that there may be discrepancies between this, the original German text, and the English text, which has been edited. If you would like to make any changes to the original article, let us know and we will pass your proposed edits along to the author for approval.

Angela Merkel könnte gegenwärtig eigentlich hoch zufrieden sein, denn die Umfragen für ihre Partei und ihre Person sind nicht schlecht, bzw. sehr gut. Ernsthafte innerparteiliche Rivalen existieren nicht mehr. Die linke Seite ist in vier Parteien zersplittert, was nur in einem Drei-Parteien-Parlament (ohne Liberale, Linke und Piraten) eine rot-grüne Mehrheit als realistisch erscheinen lässt, zugleich aber den entscheidenden Nachteil hat, dass eine solche Konstellation aus heutiger Sicht nicht sehr realistisch ist. Und in der europäischen Krisenpolitik hat sie sich durchgesetzt, zumindest glaubt die Mehrheit der Deutschen diese ihre Botschaft. Eigentlich also alles bestens – oder doch nicht?

Zwei Faktoren können für die Wiederwahl Angela Merkels im Herbst 2013 ein echtes Problem werden. Innenpolitisch zerbröselt ihr liberaler Koalitionspartner ins parlamentarische Nichts. Auch wenn die FDP noch einmal überleben sollte, was alles andere als gesichert ist, so wird die jetzige Koalition kaum nochmals eine Mehrheit erhalten. Die Kanzlerin wird also mehr und mehr von den Sozialdemokraten abhängig werden, was der Kanzlerin allerdings egal sein kann, solange sie in ihrem Amt verbleibt. In Sigmar Gabriel, dem Vorsitzenden der SPD, hat sie allerdings zum ersten Mal einen Gegner, den zu unterschätzen für sie gefährlich werden könnte.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/EehhJS4/de;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now