El interminable juego de Tailandia

BANGKOK – La hospitalización del Rey Bhumibol Adulyadej ha puesto sobre el tapete la pregunta más sobrecogedora para Tailandia: la desgarradora lucha política que el país ha sufrido en los últimos años ha girado en el fondo en lo que ocurrirá una vez que el reinado del debilitado rey de 81 años llegue a su fin.

El fin de juego de Tailandia ha sido moldeado por varios acontecimientos de importancia: el golpe militar de septiembre de 2006, la actual constitución y las elecciones de 2007, respaldadas por el ejército, las protestas callejeras y la toma de la Casa de gobierno y los aeropuertos de Bangkok en 2008, el gobierno de coalición del Primer Ministro Abhisit Vejjajiva, intermediado por el ejército y que ha regido desde enero de este año, y los disturbios de abril en Bangkok. Lo que está en juego es el alma de una Tailandia emergente, con ramificaciones de largo aliento para las democracias en desarrollo, así como para la comunidad internacional en general.

En la colorida crisis tailandesa se enfrentan los camisas “amarillas” monárquicos, conservadores y predominantemente urbanos con las columnas “rojas” y mayoritariamente rurales del ex Primer Ministro Thaksin Shinawatra. Esto se explica por el hecho de que durante gran parte del auge económico de Tailandia de las últimas dos décadas la riqueza ha permanecido principalmente el área metropolitana de Bangkok, bastión de la próspera clase media urbana, generando un profundo resentimiento en la mayoría rural.

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/eXX0mSm/es;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now