红黄相争中的泰国

发自曼谷——在经历了整整3年的血腥街头抗议后,4年一届的泰国下议院议员任期将在今年11月届满,只待重新选举。对此现任总理阿披实·维乍集瓦(Abhisit Vejjajiva)早已表明会在5月的第一个星期请求解散下议院,而这一声明正是在他的政府勉强逃脱国会不信任动议案后作出的。如此看来,这一阶段正是为大选铺路的时候了。

但鉴于泰国近年来反复无常的政治局势,这种表面上的稳定和制度轮换依然危机四伏。而恰与世界其他地区的人民运动遥相呼应,泰国至今仍深陷于冲突和分裂之中:一面是根深蒂固的统治政权极力扶持阿披实,另一面则是迅速壮大的新生势力渴望获得选举权利。倘若要从这场冲突中取得任何和平成果的话,就非得有高瞻远瞩的退让与妥协不可。

泰国的这场街头政治始于2005年,当时腐败横生的他信·西那瓦( Thaksin Shinawatra)政府刚刚以压倒性优势赢得大选,却旋即遭军事政变推翻。谁知时隔两年,就在泰国军方修宪之后,他信扶持的代理人又赢得了大选,因为他在泰国东北部和北部这些贫困地区的“红杉军”群众基础依然强大。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/DWkO3Vk/zh;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now