失速速度综合症

纽黑文—复发是后危机时代全球经济的常态。在美国、日本和欧洲,GDP增长在2014年上半年再次疲软。它们的退步不是巧合。全体发达国家增长长期停滞不前,这使得主要经济体极易受到前进道路上难免的坎坷的羁绊。

当然,借口是有的——永远如此。美国经济今年一季度的负增长据说与天气有关。日本第二季度的衰退被归咎为销售税的提高。欧洲二季度的停滞被解释为气候影响和对俄制裁的共同效应。

人们总喜欢将这样的发展趋势归结为各种奇特的原因,但发达国家的最新减速之势并不容易开脱。由于在经历了严重衰退后缺乏周期性动力,今天的各大经济体发现摆脱冲击影响、突破长期不振的增长轨迹特别困难。

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