Skip to main content

donaldson2_GIANLUIGIGUERCIAAFPGettyImages_SApresidentcelebration Gianluigi Guercia/AFP/Getty Images

拉马福萨能做到吗?

开普敦—本月早些时候,南非总统拉马福萨带领执政党非洲国民大会在议会选举中轻松获胜。然而要实现南非所需的经济复苏,比这个难度要大。

诚然,南非的银行经受住了2008-2009年经济衰退的压力,而且在过去20年中,南非储备银行一直将通胀率控制在接近3% -6%的目标范围。但长达10年的收入停滞、失业率上升,以及一系列商业不法行为和官员腐败的曝光,都引发了公众的普遍不满。无怪乎非洲国民大会及其主要竞争对手民主联盟的得票率都下降了,而且左派和右派的民族主义政党支持率都在上升。

此外,非洲国民大会领导的新政府将没有多少空间提供财政刺激。政府债务占国内生产总值的比重正在上升,南非的信用评级正受到严格审查,国有企业资产负债表上的巨额缺口正令公共财政吃紧。

We hope you're enjoying Project Syndicate.

To continue reading, subscribe now.

Subscribe

Get unlimited access to PS premium content, including in-depth commentaries, book reviews, exclusive interviews, On Point, the Big Picture, the PS Archive, and our annual year-ahead magazine.

https://prosyn.org/4QmQkCl/zh;
  1. bildt69_DELIL SOULEIMANAFP via Getty Images_syriansoldiermissilegun Delil Souleiman/AFP/Getty Images

    Time to Bite the Bullet in Syria

    Carl Bildt

    US President Donald Trump's impulsive decision to pull American troops out of northern Syria and allow Turkey to launch a military campaign against the Kurds there has proved utterly disastrous. But a crisis was already inevitable, given the realities on the ground and the absence of a coherent US or Western policy in Syria.

    2

Cookies and Privacy

We use cookies to improve your experience on our website. To find out more, read our updated Cookie policy, Privacy policy and Terms & Conditions