Угроза, нависшая над сектором Газы

Ежедневно с территории сектора Газы, находящейся под властью Хамаса, большим количеством ракет «Хассам» производятся обстрелы израильских городов. Израильские политики соревнуются друг с другом в том, кто предложит самые жёсткие ответные действия. В такой ситуации у Израиля сегодня остался только один вопрос: следует ли осуществить вторжение или не следует? Но ни одна из сторон не свободна от противоречий: и те, и другие пытаются разрешить неразрешимую, на вид, головоломку.

Как правительство, Хамас необходимо оценивать по его способности обеспечить безопасность и надлежащее управление населению сектора Газы, но, как движение, Хамас не может предать свою основную цель – уничтожение израильского оккупанта. В конце концов, Хамас избирали не для того, чтобы установить мир с Израилем или улучшить отношения с Соединёнными Штатами. Какими бы обнадёживающими ни казались некоторые отдельные признаки движения к политическому реализму, на повестке дня у Хамаса не стоит задача предать сам смысл своего существования посредством одобрения Аннаполисского мирного процесса, возглавляемого США.

Атакующие действия Хамаса не являются попыткой втянуть Израиль в дорогостоящее вторжение, которое может подорвать власть Хамаса. Хамас, скорее, преследует цель установить баланс постоянной угрозы, поддерживая конфликт слабой интенсивности, даже если установится новое временное перемирие.

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