Ослабление политики потепления

На прошлой неделе в морском сражении между военными кораблями Северной и Южной Кореи затонул не только фрегат Южной Кореи. Возможно, также пошла ко дну «политика потепления» - политика сближения с Северной Кореей, которая когда-то казалась главным достижением президента Кима Даэ Юнга за годы его правления в Южной Корее.

Два года прошли с тех пор, как Ким Даэ Юнг встретился с Председателем Северной Кореи Кимом Ёнгом II в Пхеньяне, обнищавшей Северной столице. С тех пор Ким Ёнг II так и не предпринял свой обещанный ответный визит в Сеул. Этот отказ говорит о том, что фундаментальная враждебность Северной Кореи по отношению к Южной не уменьшается.

Почему? Мы можем только строить предположения о том, что военные Северной Кореи противостоят любому реальному изменению потому, что выживание режима зависит от его политики «первым делом военные». Пока военные Северной Кореи остаются защитниками режима, поддерживая доктрину, Ким Ёнг II не сможет изменить основную внутреннюю и внешнюю политику своей страны.

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