Paul Lachine

沙特阿拉伯政权日薄西山

伦敦——在两天的时间里,卡扎菲和哈特皇储阿齐兹相继去世,他们的死法大相径庭,可谓对式微的老人政治的绝大讽刺。两人身故可能会导致大不相同的结果:利比亚人民获得了解放,而沙特人民将继续生活在专制之下。

但阿齐兹以86岁之龄谢世标志着沙特迎来国内外不确定性的关键时期。阿齐兹的同父异母兄阿卜杜拉国王仍然身处利雅得医院,上个月刚刚接手了一次大手术。沙特政权正在衰老和衰竭,沙特人民相信,阿卜杜拉如今是靠生命支持手段才得以不死的。

与此同时,接班人之争远未尘埃落定。阿齐兹的葬礼因为统治家族需要时间来确定接班人而被推迟,这是破天荒第一回,表明统治家族存在内部分歧(但在延续王朝统治这一问题上是一致的)。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/nsUpRIH/zh;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now