Putins Endphase in der Ukraine?

LONDON – Vielleicht besitzt Wladimir Putin für seine Ukraine-Politik die Unterstützung von 80% der Russen, vielleicht auch nicht. Immer klarer wird jedenfalls, dass er mehr gegessen hat, als er verdauen kann. Die Frage lautet: An welchem Punkt wird seine Position als Präsident unhaltbar?

Lassen wir die Moral und den geopolitischen Hintergrund der Verwicklungen in der Ukraine mal außen vor. Ich glaube, die Sichtweise der Russen, der Westen habe die nachkommunistische Schwäche Russlands ausgenutzt, um sich historische Gebiete des Landes einzuverleiben, ist gerechtfertigt. Die Monroe-Doktrin mag mit dem aktuellen internationalen Recht nicht vereinbar sein, aber alle Mächte, die stark genug sind, eine strategische Interessenssphäre durchzusetzen, verhalten sich so.

Auch glaube ich, dass an Putins Behauptung, eine multipolare Welt sei für das Aufblühen der Menschheit hilfreicher als eine unipolare, etwas dran ist. Keine einzelne Macht oder Koalition ist weise oder selbstlos genug, um universale Herrschaft beanspruchen zu können.

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