Jon Krause

跟萧条有关的地缘政治

发自佛罗伦撒——中国超越日本成为世界第二大经济体的消息并不令我吃惊。因为这是21世纪早期大衰退在地缘政治方面所呈现的结果——既让人充满经济腾飞的希望,也伴随着政治上的恐惧。

首先是经济方面的利好:美国次贷危机所引发的金融骚乱之所以没能彻底毁灭全球经济并重蹈1930年代大萧条的覆辙,中国的应对措施应该记上头功。

在对大萧条的一个著名分析中,经济史学家查理斯·金德博格将萧条的起源归结为全球领导角色的缺失。英国虽然贵为19世界的全球霸主,但他的债权人地位已经被第一次世界大战的巨大消耗所削弱了。

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