Putinův poker

Bývalý špion KGB má zřejmě předpoklady hrát z pozice kremelského vůdce diplomatický poker dosti obratně. Ruský prezident Vladimír Putin skutečně prokazuje své mistrovství jak v mezinárodní diplomacii, tak při vypořádávání se s domácími záležitostmi. Od dob Gustava Stresemanna, ministra zahraničí německé Výmarské republiky, kdy Sovětský svaz a Západ štvaly jeden proti druhému, nehrál žádný lídr tak úspěšně s tak špatnými kartami. Putinovy nedávné tahy v Severní Koreji a jeho opatrné kroužení kolem Iráku jsou toho nejnovějšími důkazy.

Diplomacie ve své tradiční podobě nikdy nebyla silnou stránkou Ruska. Za vlády carů bylo Rusko často izolované. I když bylo součástí aliancí - trojspolku s Bismarckovým Německem a Habsburskou říší nebo Dohody s Francií před první světovou válkou - drželi si spojenci Rusko dál od těla.

Ruští vůdci se obvykle vyrovnávali se strachem z izolace a obklíčení tím, že si dávali zvlášť záležet, aby budili zdání hrozby. V sovětském období se vzdálenost mezi Ruskem a jeho sousedy změnila v nepřekonatelnou propast. SSSR byl obklopen státy buď znepřátelenými, nebo slabými a servilními. Komunistickou Čínu si Stalin znepřátelil okamžitě po Maově revoluci v roce 1949.

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