Vladimir Putin Alexei Druzhinin/ZumaPress

普京的苏联梦

马德里—世界六大主要力量和伊朗最近达成的核协议代表着多边主义的胜利。如果这六大力量——联合国安理会五大常任理事国和德国——表现出同样强大的合作意愿解决其他纠纷,世界将进入合作与稳定的新时代。

不幸的是,这一情景离我们相去甚远。从中国在南海的活动,到伊斯兰国在中东的继续挺进,竞争与冲突正在威胁树立已久的地区秩序。但也许最关键的冲突——如何解决这场冲突对全世界都有影响——是乌克兰,目前这个国家已成为俄罗斯总统普京的修正主义野心的核心。

俄罗斯单方面吞并克里米亚和支持东乌克兰分裂分子已经导致其与西方决裂,普京有意地通过将俄罗斯的“保守主义价值”包装为美国领导的自由世界秩序的对立意识形态而营造出一种冷战氛围。尽管如此,关键问题——叙利亚大屠杀、与伊斯兰国的战斗、核不扩散和北冰洋的冲突利益和竞争性主张——都需要俄罗斯的参与才能解决。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/CauWAuZ/zh;
  1. An employee works at a chemical fiber weaving company VCG/Getty Images

    China in the Lead?

    For four decades, China has achieved unprecedented economic growth under a centralized, authoritarian political system, far outpacing growth in the Western liberal democracies. So, is Chinese President Xi Jinping right to double down on authoritarianism, and is the “China model” truly a viable rival to Western-style democratic capitalism?

  2. The assembly line at Ford Bill Pugliano/Getty Images

    Whither the Multilateral Trading System?

    The global economy today is dominated by three major players – China, the EU, and the US – with roughly equal trading volumes and limited incentive to fight for the rules-based global trading system. With cooperation unlikely, the world should prepare itself for the erosion of the World Trade Organization.

  3. Donald Trump Saul Loeb/Getty Images

    The Globalization of Our Discontent

    Globalization, which was supposed to benefit developed and developing countries alike, is now reviled almost everywhere, as the political backlash in Europe and the US has shown. The challenge is to minimize the risk that the backlash will intensify, and that starts by understanding – and avoiding – past mistakes.

  4. A general view of the Corn Market in the City of Manchester Christopher Furlong/Getty Images

    A Better British Story

    Despite all of the doom and gloom over the United Kingdom's impending withdrawal from the European Union, key manufacturing indicators are at their highest levels in four years, and the mood for investment may be improving. While parts of the UK are certainly weakening economically, others may finally be overcoming longstanding challenges.

  5. UK supermarket Waring Abbott/Getty Images

    The UK’s Multilateral Trade Future

    With Brexit looming, the UK has no choice but to redesign its future trading relationships. As a major producer of sophisticated components, its long-term trade strategy should focus on gaining deep and unfettered access to integrated cross-border supply chains – and that means adopting a multilateral approach.

  6. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now