希腊的虚假债务方案

普林斯顿—希腊债务的正式豁免已经开始。这个被称为“正式部门参与”(official sector involvement,OSI)的项目包括数项旨在让希腊债务/GDP比率在2020年降至124%的计划,如今这一比例大约为200%。但是,虽然宣布了该计划,但报纸报道显示,官员认为其中的措施不足以达到这一目标;在政治上更合适的时候,还将就进一步动作展开后续谈判。

经济学家拉里·萨默斯(Larry Summers)将欧洲决策比作越南战争。“每当关键时刻,他们总是做出避免眼前灾难所需的最低程度承诺——用乐观的语调发言,但从来不拿出真刀真枪,即使他们能够通过这样取得决定性胜利。”

这样的策略必须改变——而希腊提供了先发制人的现实机会。摆在人们面前的前途不是少许债务豁免,而是由两个方面组成的大计划。首先,正如处理希腊私人重组事宜的律师李·布克海特(Lee Buchheit)所指出的,希腊正式债务的到期日将被大大延长。将出现一个简单的框架,让所有债务都延长至40年后偿付,利率在2%。这将让希腊及其正式债权人摆脱当前挥之不去的焦虑。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/iTA1trF/zh;
  1. Patrick Kovarik/Getty Images

    The Summit of Climate Hopes

    Presidents, prime ministers, and policymakers gather in Paris today for the One Planet Summit. But with no senior US representative attending, is the 2015 Paris climate agreement still viable?

  2. Trump greets his supporters The Washington Post/Getty Images

    Populist Plutocracy and the Future of America

    • In the first year of his presidency, Donald Trump has consistently sold out the blue-collar, socially conservative whites who brought him to power, while pursuing policies to enrich his fellow plutocrats. 

    • Sooner or later, Trump's core supporters will wake up to this fact, so it is worth asking how far he might go to keep them on his side.
  3. Agents are bidding on at the auction of Leonardo da Vinci's 'Salvator Mundi' Eduardo Munoz Alvarez/Getty Images

    The Man Who Didn’t Save the World

    A Saudi prince has been revealed to be the buyer of Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi," for which he spent $450.3 million. Had he given the money to the poor, as the subject of the painting instructed another rich man, he could have restored eyesight to nine million people, or enabled 13 million families to grow 50% more food.

  4.  An inside view of the 'AknRobotics' Anadolu Agency/Getty Images

    Two Myths About Automation

    While many people believe that technological progress and job destruction are accelerating dramatically, there is no evidence of either trend. In reality, total factor productivity, the best summary measure of the pace of technical change, has been stagnating since 2005 in the US and across the advanced-country world.

  5. A student shows a combo pictures of three dictators, Austrian born Hitler, Castro and Stalin with Viktor Orban Attila Kisbenedek/Getty Images

    The Hungarian Government’s Failed Campaign of Lies

    The Hungarian government has released the results of its "national consultation" on what it calls the "Soros Plan" to flood the country with Muslim migrants and refugees. But no such plan exists, only a taxpayer-funded propaganda campaign to help a corrupt administration deflect attention from its failure to fulfill Hungarians’ aspirations.

  6. Project Syndicate

    DEBATE: Should the Eurozone Impose Fiscal Union?

    French President Emmanuel Macron wants European leaders to appoint a eurozone finance minister as a way to ensure the single currency's long-term viability. But would it work, and, more fundamentally, is it necessary?

  7. The Year Ahead 2018

    The world’s leading thinkers and policymakers examine what’s come apart in the past year, and anticipate what will define the year ahead.

    Order now