Тревожный эндшпиль Обасанджо

В настоящее время в Нигерии ключевой вопрос теперь заключается не в том, уйдет ли президент Олусегун Обасанджо после того, как в следующем году истечет его второй (и последний) срок, а кто станет его преемником. Учитывая нигерийскую историю не сдающих свои прочные позиции военных диктатур, это реальный прогресс. К сожалению, это не обязательно деятельность президента.

Попытки сторонников Обасанджо убедить Национальное Собрание внести поправки в Конституцию, чтобы позволить Обасанджо остаться у власти после двух президентских сроков, наткнулись на твердую стену оппозиции. Правительственная и коммерческая деятельность фактически были остановлены этой весной, поскольку борцы за демократию в союзе с политическими деятелями и законодателями, выступающими против третьего срока, сцепились с союзниками Обасанджо, чтобы помешать предложенному законопроекту.

Провал сторонников Обасанджо послужил началом трех больших политических событий. Президентская власть стремительно ослабевает, а его крепкая хватка над его Народной Демократической Партией (PDP) ослабла. Партии оппозиции, группы по защите прав человека и другие критики правительства, до сих пор запуганные на вид всемогущим Обасанджо и аппаратом PDP, возродили свои надежды. Обасанджо, осажденный критикой и злой из-за того, что друзья внутри страны и за границей (особенно в Соединенных Штатах и Европе) предали его, помогая его политическим оппонентам снять поправки, настроен свести счеты.

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