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朝鲜问题的唯一前进路径

发自首尔——朝鲜半岛是否即将爆发另一场毁灭性战争?这些问题近来已经成为多场对话中的热门话题了。

各界对朝鲜核武计划的担忧早就不是一天两天了。美国先是在1994年试图用美朝框架协议来解决这个问题;但在双方随后的作为(以及不作为)让这一努力逐渐失效。到了2006年,金正日政权引爆了朝鲜的第一个核装置,也把这个问题一把推到了联合国安理会的议程上。

在接下来的十年中朝鲜进行了五次核试验——最近那次在今年9月——并展示了开发先进热核武器所需的精湛技术。而政权在金正恩领导下开始大力发展射程到达美国大陆本土的洲际弹道导弹时,形势进一步升级。而这一进展恰逢美国总统特朗普上台,而后者承诺将采用新手法来处理全球事务。

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