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朝鲜的交易艺术

首尔——美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对朝鲜最近弹道导弹试验令人惊讶的克制态度已经让许多观察家想知道他的下一步是什么。特朗普已经公开宣称朝鲜研发一款能打到美国的核导弹“不可能实现。”但具体来讲,他要做什么来防止这种情况发生?

有人可能建议特朗普内阁先发制人地打击朝鲜的核设施。但这是一种危险而低效的方案,因为朝鲜其后可能会报复韩国。韩国不愿冒战争的风险,因此美国挑起朝鲜进攻将对美韩联盟造成灾难性的后果。

此外,朝鲜最近研发了固体燃料引擎导弹,可以在发射前一直处于隐蔽状态,从而导致在技术上很难判定正确的目标——以及合适的打击时机。

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