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朝鲜导弹危机

纽约—1月2日,当时还是当选总统的特朗普说朝鲜正在开发能打到美国的核武器,并在他的推特账号上保证“这不会发生!”但这发生了。

7月4日,即美国独立日当天,朝鲜给了美国人一个不想要的生日礼物,成功试射了火星-14洲际弹道导弹,分析家认为该导弹可以打到阿拉斯加。现在,剩下的只是朝鲜能不能将核弹头微型化,让洲际弹道导弹携带——这一里程碑估计要不了几年就能实现。

朝鲜最新的洲际弹道导弹试射改变了亚洲乃至世界的外交和战争格局,因为这将核风险提升到了绝无仅有的程度,此前只在1962年的苏联身上发生过一次。事实上,如今我们正在目睹一场古巴导弹危机的慢动作重演。问题在于,今天的领导人能否表现出当年的美国总统肯尼迪这样的战略眼光,消弭古巴导弹危机。

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