Double-decker bus in London, Great Britain

不会有英国退出

伦敦—在今年欧盟所面临的多重生存挑战中——包括难民、民粹主义政治、德国要求的紧缩、希腊(也许还有葡萄牙)政府破产等——有一场危机正在走向解决。英国不会表决离开欧盟。

如此自信的预测似乎与民调相悖。民调显示,在6月的全民公决中将有大约50%支持“英国退出”。英国公共观点可能更加偏向于“退出”方向更长一些,欧元怀疑派纷纷对2月19日欧盟峰会所达成的英国“新协议”极尽嘲讽。

尽管如此,也许世界现在应该停止担心了。这个问题的政治面和经济面几乎可以保证英国选民将支持保留欧盟成员资格,尽管民调要等到公决前几周甚至几天才会表现出来。

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