普京的引爆点?

纽约—当克里姆林宫的无能演变为谋杀时,其主人已开始颤抖。当马来西亚航空公司MH17航班坠毁消息传到俄罗斯时,人们想起了31年前的9月苏联对大韩航空007航班的攻击及其所引起的政治后果。

31年前,克里姆林宫先是骗全世界说自己与大韩航空飞机失踪无关。随后它又宣称韩国飞机在执行美国的间谍任务。但是,在苏联领导层内部,此次事件成为一个引爆点。它终结了总参谋长、最强硬的强硬派奥加尔科夫(Nikolai Ogarkov)的职业生涯——他前后不一、令人无法信服的坠机理由令克里姆林宫颜面扫地。

奥加尔科夫拙劣的表演(和苍白的谎言),加上1979年以来苏联入侵阿富汗以来的失败,暴露出苏联制度的加速腐朽。始于勃列日涅夫执政时期的停滞在其1982年逝世后日益加深。他的继任者——先是克格勃的安德罗波夫,然后是苏共总书记契尔年科——在掌权时一只脚已经进了棺材,并且完全没有改革苏联的条件。

To continue reading, please log in or enter your email address.

Registration is quick and easy and requires only your email address. If you already have an account with us, please log in. Or subscribe now for unlimited access.

required

Log in

http://prosyn.org/Pqvvu8X/zh;
  1. Sean Gallup/Getty Images

    Angela Merkel’s Endgame?

    The collapse of coalition negotiations has left German Chancellor Angela Merkel facing a stark choice between forming a minority government or calling for a new election. But would a minority government necessarily be as bad as Germans have traditionally thought?

  2. Trump Trade speech Bill Pugliano/Getty Images .

    Preparing for the Trump Trade Wars

    In the first 11 months of his presidency, Donald Trump has failed to back up his words – or tweets – with action on a variety of fronts. But the rest of the world's governments, and particularly those in Asia and Europe, would be mistaken to assume that he won't follow through on his promised "America First" trade agenda.

  3. A GrabBike rider uses his mobile phone Bay Ismoyo/Getty Images

    The Platform Economy

    While developed countries in Europe, North America, and Asia are rapidly aging, emerging economies are predominantly youthful. Nigerian, Indonesian, and Vietnamese young people will shape global work trends at an increasingly rapid pace, bringing to bear their experience in dynamic informal markets on a tech-enabled gig economy.

  4. Trump Mario Tama/Getty Images

    Profiles in Discouragement

    One day, the United States will turn the page on Donald Trump. But, as Americans prepare to observe their Thanksgiving holiday, they should reflect that their country's culture and global standing will never recover fully from the wounds that his presidency is inflicting on them.

  5. Mugabe kisses Grace JEKESAI NJIKIZANA/AFP/Getty Images

    How Women Shape Coups

    In Zimbabwe, as in all coups, much behind-the-scenes plotting continues to take place in the aftermath of the military's overthrow of President Robert Mugabe. But who the eventual winners and losers are may depend, among other things, on the gender of the plotters.

  6. Oil barrels Ahmad Al-Rubaye/Getty Images

    The Abnormality of Oil

    At the 2017 Abu Dhabi Petroleum Exhibition and Conference, the consensus among industry executives was that oil prices will still be around $60 per barrel in November 2018. But there is evidence to suggest that the uptick in global growth and developments in Saudi Arabia will push the price as high as $80 in the meantime.

  7. Israeli soldier Menahem Kahana/Getty Images

    The Saudi Prince’s Dangerous War Games

    Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is working hard to consolidate power and establish his country as the Middle East’s only hegemon. But his efforts – which include an attempt to trigger a war between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon – increasingly look like the work of an immature gambler.