Дорога Нигерии к разорению

Из-за острых политических разногласий в Иране и Ираке легко упустить из вида растущие беспорядки в Нигерии, восьмой стране мира по объёму экспорта нефти. А между тем, обостряющиеся в Нигерии социальные и политические проблемы показывают, как насилие и отсутствие стабильности в ещё одной стране, относящейся к основным производителям энергии, заставляет уходить иностранных инвесторов и приводит к повышению цен на нефть.

Нигерийский президент Олусегун Обасанджо, похоже, намерен обойти конституцию страны и дать себе шанс пойти на третий срок. Для достижения этой цели он свёл до минимума влияние многих своих политических соперников. Вице-президента Атику Абубакар – возможного претендента на пост президента в 2007 году – подвергли преследованиям и изолировали. Министров, подозреваемых в отсутствии безоговорочной преданности, вывели из игры.

Но противники Обасанджо приняли вызов на битву, а у президента нет двух третей голосов ни в федеральном парламенте, ни в парламентах штатов, чтобы остаться у власти через год. Два бывших нигерийских президента генералы Мухаммад Бухари и Ибрагим Бабангида публично выступают против нарушения Обасанджо конституции, а некоторые правители северных штатов Нигерии, преимущественно населённых мусульманами, дали ясно понять, что надеются на уход Обасанджо после истечения срока его полномочий в 2007 году.

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