НАТО в Ливан – но при одном условии

Текущие дискуссии вокруг введения международных сил на территорию южного Ливана почти полностью сосредоточились на том, какие страны и организации – НАТО, Европейский Союз, Организация Объединенных Наций – предоставят войска. Это, конечно, важный вопрос, но настоящая проблема касается изменений, которые должен предпринять Израиль в обмен на введение этих сил, и учитывая риск такой миссии.

Никакие международные силы просто не будут защищать Израиль от ракет группировки Хезболла, в то время как Израиль продолжает свою текущую стратегию. В конце концов, недавнее обострение конфликта в регионе, по крайней мере, частично является следствием этой стратегии. Если международные силы просто позволят правительству Эхуда Ольмерта и дальше следовать намеченным планам, то страны, предоставляющие войска для международных сил, будут рассматриваться не только как одобряющие израильскую политику, но и как те, которые замешаны в ее провале.

Осуждать стратегию Израиля как ошибочную не означает потворствовать действиям Хамаса или Хезболла или отрицать право Израиля на самооборону. Это просто означает указать на то, что должно быть очевидным: попытки Израиля найти решение своим проблемам безопасности в одностороннем порядке – независимо от того, что это: захват, вывод войск или размежевание – провалились.

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